ADVISORY LEVEL NYC SNOW EVENT POSSIBLE
ADVISORY LEVEL NYC SNOW EVENT POSSIBLE
ADVISORY LEVEL NYC SNOW EVENT POSSIBLE – Good morning everyone. Our winter season is about to give us another light snow event, getting us closer on our path to average snowfall a little bit at a time.
Temps in the low teens this morning will continue to make it feel like Maine in deep winter. Unfortunately, we’re locked in this pattern for an extended period of time, something I haven’t seen aside from old almanacs. Typically when NYC experiences the coldest air winter has to offer, it usually lasts 2-4 days before moderating.
We’ll go for low 20’s today, teens again tonight, then we await our clipper system to see how much snow we get. Not to beat a dead horse, but we have a clipper system coming down tomorrow that’ll give us some afternoon and evening snow.
MOST LIKELY SCENARIO
Here is your snow map for tomorrow’s system. At this point and going forward, confidence is moderate for these amounts. Model watching is over and we just have to wait and see how much moisture will be available; and what the final setup will be as far as whether low pressure will be enhanced enough, soon enough, to bump up the totals towards the higher end of the spectrum.
That being said, I still wouldn’t be surprised if this system breezes through here with a whimper and the radar doesn’t impress; which is why confidence is moderate and not high.
Either way, bitter cold is reinforced and New Years Day/New Years Eve are the coldest we’ve seen in quite some time. Single digits will be on tap for NYE and mid to upper teens as highs for New Year’s Day. We climb back to near 20/Low 20’s for early next week, then possibly upper 20’s to low 30’s as we wait to see if another system arrives mid to late week.
In the long range, another model-induced historic blizzard is supposed to hit us, but we all know how that goes. Our liight event tomorrow looked like 20-40” of snow on paper 7 days ago. It’s important to take these long range models with a grain of salt, especially when they’re predicting these big systems behind other systems/airmasses we have to get past first.
Stay tuned!
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