NYC NOREASTER POSSIBLY PROCEEDS HALLOWEEN
Good very cool morning everyone. Some rain has pivoted through the air with another reinforcing shot of cool to relatively cold air for the New York City area. Meanwhile, we continue to watch stubborn features on the long range models which continue to show itself in one form or another; pointing to possibly something vigorous just before Halloween.
EASTERN SATELLITE
For today, showers will be gone before most people even look outside this morning. They’ll be replaced with stubborn low to mid-level clouds, then partial clearing; but the wind machine remains behind, helping to shove that unseasonably cool air down from Canada and into the area. Expect highs in the mid to upper 40’s and winds could gust to near 40mph.
REGIONAL RADAR
Overnight tonight, we dip down into the low to mid 30’s and the wind remains blowing. This will prevent us from getting any widespread, heavy frost, but a light and scattered frost is still possible nonetheless. Tomorrow will feel like springtime, with much calmer winds and highs in the low 50’s.
Tuesday remains looking like the warmest day of the week and the closest to normal we get. However, it’ll be front related as another reinforcing shot of cooler air works in. We’ll have clouds and sun, the slight chance of a shower, and highs in the upper 50’s to low 60’s. As cooler air filters back in, we’ll drop into the low to mid 50’s on Wednesday; then we could see yet another mid to upper 40’s-type day on Thursday as the core of the cool air settles in over us. Then we play the game and slowly modify, but remain below normal late week and into the weekend; where we begin to watch for any signs of an approaching storm.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
The long range continues to have a lot of question marks, but we do know a few things for sure. First and foremost, there are no immediate coastal storm threats to our area. It’ll be a rather quiet week this week as the first set of energy doesn’t materialize late week. So please tune out some outlets calling for a monster storm Friday into Saturday, it’ll be quiet.
Still though, energy remains in the general region of the Gulf, possibly combining with some features coming down from Canada. This scenario continues to pop up on long range models and more consistently just before Halloween. The reason why it keeps showing up, is because something is going to happen.
Just like watching long range models in the winter for snowstorms where everyone gets excited a week out, it’s too early. We will most likely see some sort of system in this time window between Sunday and Tuesday (or maybe even lingering to Halloween), but timing, path, and strength is impossible to predict at this time. We could have a very vigorous system come into the area, but it could ride inland or even go offshore with a glancing blow. it could also wind up being piece-meal and much weaker.
Path is not as important this time of year because we know it’s rain regardless, but we still have a forecast to fine-tune so we know exactly what we’re dealing with. The bright spot we see for now is that if any major coastal system does occur, it won’t have the full moon to help it further enhance the ocean and bays this time around.
FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Long Island
FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For New Jersey
FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Hudson Valley
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SNOW FORECASTS
LATEST JOESTRADAMUS ON THE LONG RANGE