NYC SNOW THREAT REMAINS – Good morning folks, models remain in disagreement with each other in terms of Sunday and Monday’s weather. So for now, enjoy a quiet but cold 2 days, with highs today and tomorrow in the mid to upper 30’s, and lows in the mid to upper 20’s. Wind will settle down a bit on Sunday, with increasing clouds and highs in the mid to upper 30’s again, but lows will rise through the night depending on what your model religion of choice is (GFS, Euro, NAM).

I put up a snowfall map very early this morning, discussing the worst case scenario and how confidence is low even though it is my own map. At 10 a.m. this morning, the National Weather Service released a map mirroring my initial thoughts on what may happen if the cold air hangs on. That being said, I still have a problem seeing this pan out. If the low pressure system to our west is “too strong”, the warm front will lift through the area fairly quickly and limit the period of frozen precip.


Either way you look at it, the threat of snow remains due to the stubbornness of other models hanging onto the idea of a weaker system and stubborn cold air. Because of this, and our strange weather a few days ago with heavy sleet and 44 degree temps, I will keep the idea on the table of the snow map I created about 10 hours ago. This could go either way, but even if we do get some snow, keep in mind that this would have very little impact other than a picturesque view and a worse than average rush hour Monday morning due to our wonderful drivers in the area.

Down the road, we’re still keeping an eye on a possible colder blast of air midweek next week, and a  close call at or around December 15th, which I’ve been discussing since late November. Beyond that, some models show a ridge building around Christmas-time, signaling warmer air. However, two weeks ago, we saw models signaling a ridge this very week, with temps possibly in the 60’s ahead of a storm. We all know that didn’t come true as we bundle up for 30’s today, so don’t take much coin in any model showing big ridges during late December. We’ll take a look at it as we get closer because I still continue to see something lurking around the 25th +/- 2 to 3 days.




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NYC SNOW THREAT REMAINS – Radar is quiet aside from some Lake Effect snows as we await the next system for Sunday/Monday.

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