THIRD NYC NOREASTER POSSIBLE EARLY WEEK
THIRD NYC NOREASTER POSSIBLE EARLY WEEK
THIRD NYC NOREASTER POSSIBLE EARLY WEEK – Good morning everyone. What a wild day yesterday with numerous reports of thundersnow and very high rates of snowfall per hour. While we didn’t reach our number in certain spots in regards to the snow map, other areas hit their number, and other areas way over-performed.
This is what typically happens when thundersnow sets up, not everyone sees the same thing and an area 5 miles away from another can have a completely different experience. Either way, the anticipated rainy/mix start, typical March melt, and early exit, made for a very difficult forecast and played a role in keeping totals down. It was a wild storm nonetheless. The show must go on though and as we shake yesterday’s Nor’easter off, we begin to focus on yet another potential Nor’easter for the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.
First, we’ll talk about the big melt going on. Sunny skies and mid 40’s will be with us today through Sunday. This will help melt whatever has fallen and it’ll melt particularly quickly since this was a heavy, wet snow. The only caution will be for those commuting in the morning for the next few days. Any puddles and wet areas may freeze overnight with temps dipping into the upper 20’s to near 30, so be cautious of frozen areas and areas of black ice.
Late Sunday, it looks as if clouds begin to increase with the approach of another system. This one looks to take a more classic route, coming out of the Mississippi Valley and to the Mid-Atlantic. Once it approaches the lower Appalachians, it’ll try to transfer it’s energy to the coast; potentially somewhere between South Carolina and southern Virginia. Once this happens, it’ll try and ride up the coast, but we have to wait and see how far north it can get, or if it can get up here, how far will it be off of the coast.
Many questions remain and added into these factors, will be the fact that we’re in March now, and a low pressure originating from a southerly route typically has a warmer core with it. If it were to make its way up to our area, we could be looking at several changeovers or mixing depending on its final track. The only way to keep it all snow, would be a brushing situation, where we find ourselves on the very edge of a departing low to our south and east; this is also a possibility.
Until we get closer and also see what our departing storm has left us atmosphere-wise, all options are on the table, including a near-miss. Stay tuned and we will fine tune the forecast as we get closer.
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