UPDATE: NICOLE A CAT. 3, BERMUDA LANDFALL LIKELY
Update: Hurricane Nicole is now a category 3 storm. Bermuda is bracing for a landfall, something that has happened only 12 times in recorded history.
Bands of heavy rain have already begun to move across Bermuda, and winds are starting to pick up. Sustained winds of 45 mph and gusts over 60 mph have already been reported. The current maximum sustained winds around the center of circulation are 125 mph, with gusts up to 160. Winds at the time of landfall are likely to be well over 100 mph. In addition to very high winds and torrential rain, Bermuda could see a storm surge of 6-8 feet.
The storm has made a wobble to the right, and while this slight shift to the east could spare the island the strongest winds, it will otherwise do little to diminish the effects on Bermuda.
Here is the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center:
BULLETIN HURRICANE NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016 500 AM AST THU OCT 13 2016 ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE NICOLE AIMED AT BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.1N 65.8W ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM SW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.12 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Nicole was located near latitude 31.1 North, longitude 65.8 West. Nicole is moving toward the north-northeast near 15 mph (24 km/h). A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected later today. On the forecast track, the core of Nicole will pass near Bermuda later this morning. Maximum sustained winds remain near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. Nicole is an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Although a gradual weakening is forecast, Nicole is expected to be at major hurricane strength when it moves near Bermuda later today. Nicole is a large tropical cyclone. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 65 miles (100 km) from the center and tropical-storm- force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km). Bermuda International Airport has recently reported sustained winds of 43 mph (69 km/h) with a gust to 62 mph (100 km/h). The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 952 mb (28.12 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to begin on Bermuda in a few hours. Tropical storm conditions are already occurring on the island. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 6 to 8 feet above normal tide levels in Bermuda. The surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. RAINFALL: Nicole is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 5 to 8 inches over Bermuda through this evening. SURF: Swells associated with Nicole will affect Bermuda during the next few days, and will spread northward along the United States east coast from the Carolinas northward through the next few days. These swells will create dangerous surf conditions and rip currents. Please refer to products being issued by your local weather office for more information. TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible on Bermuda today. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.
***IMPORTANT: Hurricane Nicole is NOT a threat to the United States
-GB
WINTER WEATHER OUTLOOK VIDEOS
In case you missed them I’ve been previewing the upcoming winter in a series of posts and videos. Here are the first 2. More will be coming along. Links to the latest posts are below.
WINTER 2016-2017 PART 3 NEW JERSEY
WINTER 2016-2017 PART 1 OCEAN WATER TEMPERATURES
WINTER 2016-2017 PART 2 ARCTIC SEA ICE AND SIBERIAN SNOW COVER
FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Long Island
FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For New Jersey
FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Hudson Valley
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SNOW FORECASTS
LATEST JOESTRADAMUS ON THE LONG RANGE
Weather App
Don’t be without Meteorologist Joe Cioffi’s weather app. It is really a meteorologist app because you get my forecasts and my analysis and not some automated computer generated forecast based on the GFS model. This is why your app forecast changes every 6 hours. It is model driven with no human input at all. It gives you an icon, a temperature and no insight whatsoever.
It is a complete weather app to suit your forecast needs. All the weather information you need is right on your phone. Android or I-phone, use it to keep track of all the latest weather information and forecasts. This weather app is also free of advertising so you don’t have to worry about security issues with your device. An accurate forecast and no worries that your device is being compromised.
Use it in conjunction with my website and my facebook and twitter and you have complete weather coverage of all the latest weather and the long range outlook. The website has been redone and upgraded. Its easy to use and everything is archived so you can see how well Joe does or doesn’t do when it comes to forecasts and outlooks.
Just click on the google play button or the apple store button on the sidebar for my app which is on My Weather Concierge. Download the app for free. Subscribe to my forecasts on an ad free environment for just 99 cents a month.
Get my forecasts in the palm of your hand for less than the cost of a cup of Joe!
