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Good morning everyone. The “big one” is almost upon us as all of the ingredients have come together for the strongest storm of the season and one for the books overall. When this is over, it’ll be mentioned in the ranks as The Blizzard of ’26, with powerful winds, very heavy snow accumulations, whiteout conditions, and large snow drifts. We’ll take you through the timeline and what to expect below.
Today will be the preverbal “calm before the storm”, with some sunshine peeking through and highs in the mid 40’s. Fairly innocuous and typical for the season, which used to catch many victims off-guard before technology allowed for better forecasts. Clouds increase again overnight, with lows in the 30-35 range; again, nothing suspicious going on even though we all know what the deal is for tomorrow.
Precipitation may start as a cold drizzly rain or mix of light rain and wet flakes. As the rain and snow fall through the atmosphere and our storm begins to take shape, look for temperatures to drop enough to turn it all to snow. At no point does this system look like we’ll be dealing with rain/snow lines. Aside from the very onset, this is an all-snow monster as it pulls in more-than-enough cold air to keep things spicy.
Snow will go light to moderate, then very heavy. As temps drop to near freezing and the snow rate increases, it will easily cover the roads. Convective banding of snow is expected to set up along stretch from Maryland/Delaware to coastal Jersey and into the NYC/Long Island area. It is entirely impossible to predict where these bands and pockets of extremely heavy snow will set up, but for those who do see it, the coveted “thundersnow” can’t be ruled out. Winds will increase Sunday night into Monday morning, with winds gusting 50-65mph, especially at the immediate coast. Look for minor to moderate coastal flooding as well during high tide cycles.
Look for a general 12-18″ swath of snow accumulations in the region. Where banding sets up and moves over the same spots, we’re looking at a different animal here. Expect 18-24″+ of snow for those who see the heaviest amounts. The biggest risk of seeing these “lollipop” amounts dotting the map, will range from coastal Maryland, Delaware, coastal/near-coastal areas of New Jersey, New York City, Long Island, and Cape Cod.
Stay inside Sunday night into Monday and begin the cleanup on Tuesday with the help of some sun and lighter winds. Do your cleanups in small batches, taking a lot of breaks in between, and without overexerting yourself. Most of the snow will not be of the light/fluffy variety until temps dip low enough late Sunday night. Consistency will be of the “widow-maker” variety, so be smart and be safe!
Good luck to you all.
Please note that with regards to any severe weather, tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.
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