NYC Unsettled Week Then Winter Returns Valentine’s Day
Good morning everyone. Almost two months ago, someone joked with and asked, “When are we getting our first big snowstorm?” I answered, “Valentine’s Day.”
Relax, it’s not happening, but winter will make a strong return and brief visit at the end of the week for Valentine’s Day and to start the weekend. That will be the big news, because this rainy week ahead isn’t big news; we’re used to it.
SATELLITE
Look for an outright rainy and raw day today as waves of rain come in out the entire time. Winds will be brisk as well and help that raw day materialize. Don’t expect any major flooding, but ponding on roadways could make the evening commute home a real joy. Highs today in the low 40’s.
REGIONAL RADAR
On and off rain continues overnight tonight and into tomorrow. We may reach near 50 temps tomorrow, but it’ll be cloudy anyway, so don’t grab the bikini (unless you want to).
Wednesday clears out temporarily with mid 40’s, then we cloud up as the day goes on with our arctic air setting up. Rain moves in overnight and into Thursday.
Rain sticks around till some time between 10am-2pm Thursday, then as that front clears, any upper 40’s to low 50’s will drop and not return. Expect upper teens overnight in most of the area, maybe even colder N&W of the NYC area.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
The core of the very cold air heads in for Friday and Friday night. I’m keeping an eye on this and we may have to adjust downward in terms of temps. As of now, I’ll stay conservative and already adjust down a bit into the upper 20’s as highs. Look for mid teens overnight, and possibly single digits N&W of NYC.
Upper 20’s to low 30’s will be with us for Saturday and again, we may have to adjust this. This visit should be brief and then we begin to modify on Sunday as our next system will make its approach and cold air slips away.
LOCAL RADAR PHILADELPHIA
This is the story of our winter. Any cold air we’ve had sticks around briefly, and can’t hang on for any of our systems due to their path. We have another shot at very cold air towards the end of the month, but how long it sticks around is in question.
So far I am skeptical at the durability due to the direction it’ll be pushing in from. Typically, when cold air drops from due north instead of from the Midwest, it doesn’t hold on for long. This may be another example of that as the Midwest wants to warm up late February and that mild air may displace the very cold after only a few to several days.
Stay tuned.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
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