WEEKEND SPLIT BARELY HOLDS COMPLICATED LONG RANGE FORECAST AHEAD

WEEKEND SPLIT BARELY HOLDS COMPLICATED LONG RANGE FORECAST AHEAD – Good morning everyone. New York City is experiencing some beautiful mid-summer weather, but the worm is about to turn for a complicated week or so as a stubborn trough/old fronts get hung up at or by the east coast.

For the time being, we have some comfortable weather. Today is looking sunny and warm, with a light northerly breeze; highs in the mid 80’s. We repeat mid 80’s for tomorrow, but that wind switches to an easterly fetch, increasing humidity slightly in areas, and making the immediate shore a little cooler. Also, as the easterlies begin, seas will build as well, so the time to get any near-shore fishing in will be today, not tomorrow, and certainly not the next several days ahead.

Saturday remains complicated, but we know at least the first part of the day is looking somewhat nice. We’ll start off with sunny skies, then increasing clouds; highs in the low 80’s with a stronger easterly wind. For those venturing out east on Long Island, the Forks might not make it out of the 70’s, so dress appropriately. In the late afternoon, showers and storms may move in as a coastal low approaches, but we’ll have to closely watch the timing on this. It’s possible we can make it into the evening or even nighttime before any precip starts.

For Sunday, low pressure makes it’s pass with gusty showers and storms. As of now, the bulk of the action looks to be in the morning through early afternoon, then possibly a break. Highs in the mid 80’s depending on the exact timing of precip.

This will be the story from Sunday onward; waves of energy will be drawn up ahead of low pressure meandering in the Ohio Valley that’ll very slowly drift ENE. Each day we’ll have the chance for a period of showers and storms, but no full washout. The timing of these waves, will dictate our high temps for the day. We have a southerly flow, so it’ll be warm and humid regardless, but rain moving in during our peak heating hours could keep temps slightly below normal one particular day, then other days could be normal, and some could see upper 80’s or even low 90’s.

So we’re entering a period next week and possibly the week after, in which the forecast could be day-to-day until the trough finally fizzles out.