ACTIVE WEAK PATTERN BRINGS IN SECOND THIRD OF JULY
ACTIVE WEAK PATTERN BRINGS IN SECOND THIRD OF JULY – Good morning everyone! We’re waking up to cloudy skies as a bunch of slow moving goo heads our way in the form of a stationary front drifting northeast, and a wave of low pressure riding along it. For today, we’ll have some scattered light rain in the area throughout the day, cloudy and highs a soupy mid to upper 70’s. Tonight, the main batch of rain will head in, with showers and embedded thundershowers throughout much of the night and into tomorrow morning. We should have a break somewhere tomorrow, before a chance of some scattered storms starts to increase; humid again and highs in the upper 70’s to low 80’s.
Things will be slow to clear for Saturday, but we should get some peaks of sun, especially in the afternoon. There will be a chance of a scattered shower here or there, but don’t cancel any plans. Sun returns for Sunday for a beautiful, 85 degree day with low humidity. However, some weak instability heads back in for the beginning of the week, giving us sun and clouds, and a slight chance of a shower each day; highs in the low to mid 80’s into mid-week next week.
Essentially, what we’re watching here is an active but weak pattern brewing. Fast moving systems, followed by slow moving instability, but nothing of major sharpness or intensity. I see a hot day here or there possible for the last 3rd of July, but there’s just nothing long-lasting on the immediate horizon when it comes to major heat. What we’re witnessing so far is a very average summer temperature-wise in the Northeast, but not typical in any other fashion.
This could also affect our hurricane season in the sense that we may have to look to other sources to find our threats. Historically, Cape Verde and Windward Island sourced storms do not like this type of pattern when it comes to threatening the Northeast. However, we would have to watch old fronts as they get hung up offshore and turn into a development threat. If this pattern continues, South Florida and the Gulf would have a better chance at a classic sourced storm.
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