COMPLICATED SYSTEM BRINGS NYC LIGHT MODERATE SNOW TUESDAY EVENING

COMPLICATED SYSTEM BRINGS NYC LIGHT MODERATE SNOW TUESDAY EVENING

COMPLICATED SYSTEM BRINGS NYC LIGHT MODERATE SNOW TUESDAY EVENING

COMPLICATED SYSTEM BRINGS NYC LIGHT MODERATE SNOW TUESDAY EVENING – Good morning everyone. Cold air returned with a vengeance yesterday and so did the wind as Mother Nature reminds us that it’s January and not March. Tomorrow, she’ll give us another reminder with a kiss of snow for most of the area.

First, we’ll have to get through another cold, breezy day, with highs in the upper 20’s and a damp northeast wind that’ll give the air the feel that snow is on the way. Clouds will begin to increase overnight as a clipper heads down from the upper Midwest. This will insulate the sky and keep us from slipping back into the teens, so expect lows in the mid 20’s.

As with many of our clipper systems as of late, it’s not an easy forecast. Typically, fast moving clippers bring a general dusting to 2″ swath of snow across the area it passes through; but some late coastal development with the help of a wave that’ll form offshore may complicate things for some if it can going before it’s too far offshore.

Look for light snow and flurries to develop mid to late afternoon tomorrow. With highs near or just above freezing, any snow that does fall may have a problem sticking initially. However, as things get going and we drop into the upper 20’s overnight, it’ll be cold enough for snow to stick on all surfaces. As of this moment, look for a general 1-3″ for NYC and most of Long Island, but there’s a caveat. If this wave develops close enough to kick back a band of moderate to heavier snow, we could be looking at the 2-4″ realm with some localized 5″ hits.

Unfortunately, this is something we won’t know until we see how everything unfolds and if this fast moving, compact wave can even get going. Either way, winter weather advisories should be going up by this afternoon or late evening for the area tomorrow. Snow will end early Wednesday and the commute Wednesday morning could be a tricky one if local infrastructures are not prepared to take this one seriously by salting and sanding early.

On Thursday, we begin to recover and watch temps climb into the low 30’s, then mid to upper 30’s Friday, mid 40’s by Saturday, and maybe even 50 by Sunday. As we get into mid/late January and start getting into February, look for a typical February pattern to unfold – wild swings between unseasonably cold temps, normal temps, and unseasonably warm temps. Believe it or not, this is the best recipe for stronger systems, but path will have the final say as far as how much snow we can squeeze out of this emerging pattern.

 

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