EAST COAST EYES TURN TOWARD MAJOR HURRICANE FLORENCE
Good morning everyone. We have another hot and humid one today in New York City, but the big story is Hurricane Florence and what it might mean to the East Coast. I’ll cover this week’s weather briefly since the forecast is holding steady.
Look for hot and humid conditions to continue today, highs in the upper 80’s to near 90. We crack 90 again tomorrow, with some sun after patchy morning fog. Look for the chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon, some of which could be on the strong side for those who do see some action. Friday we cool off as the front passes, and a maritime flow will keep us in the upper 70’s with the chance of some rain.
Over the weekend, we dry out but keep some low to mid-level clouds around. Expect some relatively cool conditions with highs in the mid 70’s both Saturday and Sunday; then on Monday, the remnants of Tropical Storm Gordon finally make their way here as a wave along a frontal boundary. This will help keep temps in the 70’s with a decent shot at some soaking and much needed rain.
In the long range, heat wants to return again mid-week next week, which may cause an issue for the East Coast if Hurricane Florence doesn’t get kicked out to sea; details below……
Florence is now a major hurricane, with winds near 120mph as she continues her march WNW at a fairly good clip. Unfortunately, she missed her first opportunity to get steered into the submarine training territory of the central Atlantic; now we have to begin to keep a close eye – first for Bermuda, then the East Coast.
First Chance Missed, 2 More To Go
With Florence missing the first bus out to oblivion, there is another chance she could get scooped up and turned out to sea. However, this could pose a problem for Bermuda if she steers late. This scenario could put her in the vicinity (could be just east, just south, or just northeast) of Bermuda around Tuesday -/+ 1 day.
Last Opportunity to Save East Coast
If Florence misses the Bermuda/near Bermuda bus, then it’s up to a frontal boundary to catch her just before the East Coast. If this scenario plays out, nuances and timing will be very key. If the front dips too far to the south and at a certain angle, the Northeast would be saved but it could row Florence right into the Southeast. If the front dawdles, it could be brought dangerously near the East Coast.
****WE HAVE A LONG WAY TO GO**** There are a lot of nuances between now and mid-week next week that’ll play out to give us the big picture and what it means for us. We do this every year and this is just a good reminder/wake up call to make sure you have everything you need in case of a deteriorating forecast over the course of the next 7 days.
Stay tuned and don’t make yourself crazy watching models run to run. They will change every single run and its too far out. Let’s take it day by day and hope she gets the boot, there are still 2 more chances.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY