FAMILIAR WEATHER PATTERN EMERGING
FAMILIAR WEATHER PATTERN EMERGING
FAMILIAR WEATHER PATTERN EMERGING – Good morning everyone. If you were up early enough, some of you may have seen the scattered flurries/snow showers that crossed parts of the area.
This was ahead of a reinforcing shot of cooler air that’ll be with us all day today. Today will be windy and seasonably cool, highs in the mid to upper 40’s, but wind chill values in the 30’s to near 40. Winds calm down somewhat tonight, but we don’t cool off much as warmer air moves in temporarily. We’ll get down to 40 tonight, then into the mid to upper 50’s we go for tomorrow ahead of another system.
The mid-week forecast continues to hold strong from last week, with 2 pieces of energy, one going well to our north, and one going to our south. This will give us the chance of some rain overnight Tuesday, then a slight chance of morning rain on Wednesday. Temps will start off in the 50’s Wednesday, then probably drop as the day wears on with a gusty NW wind.
Thanksgiving Day continues to look sunny and cool, highs in the low 40’s. We modify slightly on Friday into the upper 40’s, then upper 40’s to low 50’s with yet another system on Saturday. We’ll have a slight chance of rain, then clearing, cool, and breezy on Sunday, with highs back into the 40’s.
For those who remember our late fall/early winter last year, you’ll realize that a familiar pattern is emerging. However, there are some differences. While system paths are eerily similar, with low pressure and most of the energy going to our north, much colder air is available behind these systems.
So as of this moment, we’re looking colder than last year at this time, but a familiar lack of steady rain,lack of coastal systems, and finding ourselves in the warm sector of any approaching system; albeit much shorter-lived than last year, with cold air quickly flowing in behind these systems.
What this means for us in the short term, is aside from the chance of a cheap visual thrill, the chance of early measurable snow is slim with the lack of systems following the “right path”; even though cold enough air is available unlike last year.
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