MILD NYC AFTERNOON PRECEDES FRIDAY SNOW
MILD NYC AFTERNOON PRECEDES FRIDAY SNOW
MILD NYC AFTERNOON PRECEDES FRIDAY SNOW – Good morning everyone! A tough forecast is ahead of us as we wait for several systems to play out in and around the NYC area. Today and tomorrow will be the easy part, with sun and clouds today, highs 60-65; then cooling off a bit and breezy tomorrow, increasing clouds, highs 50-55.
Forecasted snow accumulations for Friday
On Thursday night, clouds increase as an overrunning area of energy spreads into the NYC area. As cold air begins to bleed into the area, any light showers will turn to snow before sunrise on Friday. Snow will continue throughout the morning, possibly mixing with some rain before ending by afternoon. At this point I think snow will initially have a hard time sticking, especially on the roads, but we could see 1-3″ especially on colder surfaces; such as grassy areas, cars, branches, and roofs. Highs will be 35-40 for Friday, so anything that does fall will be wet in nature and melt as precip stops.
After everything passes on Friday, very cold air will move over the area and make for a frigid night. Lows will be in the upper teens to near 20, so anything that does fall will freeze very quickly and could make for treacherous roads late Friday night and Saturday with black ice. On Saturday, that cold airmass remains over the area and highs only getting into the upper 20’s. While one wouldn’t blink an eye if this was mid-January, this is extremely cold for our approach to mid-March.
The system we were watching on Sunday gets pushed to our south, hence this cold air. A few days ago, I was discussing this possibility that the cold air might win out and suppress this system into the mid-Atlantic states. It has done so and more, pushing it all the way into North Carolina, giving them a shot at some rare March snow; but by doing so, we’ll also be in the 30’s Sunday and Monday, and 20’s at night. This scenario sets us up for a possible situation next week.
I’m not going to put any graphics up yet because it’s way too early and we pride ourselves on not jumping the gun, but I will briefly discuss what we’re watching. Sunday’s system was very important as to what it opens up or closes behind it. Right now, we’re keeping an eye on a wave of energy slipping down from Canada, into the upper Midwest, and then possibly transferring energy to the coast as it hits the Appalachians. While this is going on, a blocking high will transit across lower Canada and pass just north of New England. IF the timing is right, it could set up a scenario we really haven’t seen all winter and give us the ingredients we need for a tremendous March storm for the Northeast Corridor. The pieces of the puzzle are there – we have the Sunday miss, the cold air in place, the wave of energy, and the blocking high; now we have to wait and see if all of these ingredients come together, or they don’t phase and the entire scenario falls apart. However, it is on our radar, almost all of the models see what we see, and we will be keeping a close eye on it. Stay tuned.
MILD NYC AFTERNOON PRECEDES FRIDAY SNOW – A strong cold front passes by, setting us up for a nice day today, but making way for cold air to creep in and a snowy (light now) Friday.
MILD NYC AFTERNOON PRECEDES FRIDAY SNOW – Showers pass on by associated with a cold front. Things will remain quiet and dry until late tomorrow night/early Friday.
Don’t be without Meteorologist Joe Cioffi’s weather app. It is really a meteorologist app because you get my forecasts and my analysis and not some automated computer generated forecast based on the GFS model. This is why your app forecast changes every 6 hours. It is model driven with no human input at all. It gives you an icon, a temperature and no insight whatsoever.
It is a complete weather app to suit your forecast needs. All the weather information you need is right on your phone. Android or I-phone, use it to keep track of all the latest weather information and forecasts. This weather app is also free of advertising so you don’t have to worry about security issues with your device. An accurate forecast and no worries that your device is being compromised.
Use it in conjunction with my website and my facebook and twitter and you have complete weather coverage of all the latest weather and the long range outlook. The website has been redone and upgraded. Its easy to use and everything is archived so you can see how well Joe does or doesn’t do when it comes to forecasts and outlooks.
Just click on the google play button or the apple store button on the sidebar for my app which is on My Weather Concierge. Download the app for free. Subscribe to my forecasts on an ad free environment for just 99 cents a month.
Get my forecasts in the palm of your hand for less than the cost of a cup of Joe!