NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE NYC
NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE NYC
NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE NYC – Hey everyone, just a quick update as we are starting to watch the pieces of the puzzle come together. Everything remains on schedule and my snow accumulation map from this morning remains untouched. However, I’m watching the projected strength of the low pressure system that will develop south of Long Island, as well as projected winds in the area. I’ve been asked several times throughout the last 24 hours if we’re looking at a blizzard situation here. The answer is, it’s going to be a close call. Remember, a blizzard has nothing to do with final snow amounts, it’s a combination of sustained weather conditions that have to reach a certain criteria in regards to wind and visibility due to blowing and/or falling snow. Due to the speed of the system, we may just miss the criteria for a Blizzard Warning or Watch since we need 4 hours of specific wind and visibility sustained to constitute a blizzard. However, we could see Blizzard-like conditions during the peak of this system when it brings the heaviest snow and wind.
NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE NYC
Low Pressure will wrap up tight and bring a heavy band of snow over the area. Snow should begin between 3-5am and continue into early afternoon before tapering off to flurries. Where the heaviest bands of snow set up will only be known once we’re underway, but it’s safe to say that there will be several hours in which the snow is falling at a rate of 1-3″ per hour, and possibly 4-6″ per hour if there is enough convection for thundersnow, a distinct possibility. This is why I haven’t changed the snow maps and I’m keeping the “+” in the 6-12+” and 10-14+” areas; as there will be areas of locally heavier amounts depending on the final factors of this snowstorm.
SNOWFALL POTENTIAL
Snowfall potential remains the same, but depending on the final speed of the system and where the heaviest convection sets up, we could see the upper end of the spectrum in many areas and/or locally higher amounts.
Satellite View
Satellite shows one system leaving the area, giving us our near record breaking warm day. If you look very carefully, you can see the system that will bring us our heavy snow moving through mid-west and heading towards the Ohio Valley.
Radar is quite right now aside from some rain associated with this morning’s cold front down in North Carolina.
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