NYC APOCALYPSE DELAYED RAIN WIND INSTEAD

NYC APOCALYPSE DELAYED RAIN WIND INSTEAD

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NYC APOCALYPSE DELAYED RAIN WIND INSTEAD

 

NYC APOCALYPSE DELAYED RAIN WIND INSTEAD – Good morning everyone. With the internet still buzzing about a historic Nor’easter with Sandy-like winds and damage, I must disappoint some and say, no way, not ever, at least this time around.

Questions still remain about final track, final intensity, and final rainfall expected, but at this point, I can reassure everyone here that this will be your run-of-the-mill October Nor’easter-like storm; with a dash of cold front mixed in for good measure. This is why I looked at yesterday’s model runs with extreme caution and instead, used a measured approach.

Today and tomorrow remain on target, with sunny skies and cool conditions today; highs in the low 60’s. Tomorrow we warm up with the help of that approaching cold front, highs 65-70. Rain approaches tomorrow night, with a strong southerly breeze as the cold front nears, lows only near 60.

Then we wait and see if the cold front kicks the wave of low pressure riding along it further to the east, or allows it to come closer. This will pretty much determine rainfall, not wind. As of now, expect rain, heavy at times, Sunday and Sunday night. Depending on how the rain shield sets up, will determine our final rainfall, but be prepared for 2-5 inches; which if you think about it, 2-5 inches spread out over 24-30 hours is not the end of the world, it’s a healthy, much needed rain.

As far as wind is concerned, I do not feel this system is capable of anything out of the ordinary. Look for your staple 15-25mph sustained winds, with 30-40mph gusts. Gusts will be highest along the immediate coast, Forks of Long Island, Cape Cod, and the mountainous peaks of Vermont and New Hampshire. In these areas, we could see some gusts approach 50mph. Also, look for localized flooding in your notoriously poor drainage areas and minor coastal flooding at times of highs tide.

In the end, if you’re looking for widespread damage, record breaking winds, and Noah-like rain, this is not your storm.  You can check out the Halloween forecast here, which continues to hold steady.

 

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