NYC Chilly Thanksgiving Weekend Expected
Good morning everyone. We continue to watch the Thanksgiving Holiday Weekend forecast and fine tune everything as far as timing of chilly air (and cold nights), plus another system that will near the region over the weekend itself.
So far everything is running on time with our system for Wednesday. With the lack of tropical weather this past week, cold air will be able to transit the area without any day; essentially giving us a 0 day margin of error at this point. The good news is that rain will be gone by Thanksgiving Day, making for a good travel day whether it’s by air or road. By foot though, you’ll want to break out the early-winter-gear, because it is looking like a chilly one.
This is the part we need to fine tune, temperatures. We’ll be waiting to see how quick that core of chilly air is able to settle into the area. At this point, we are looking at Thanksgiving Day temperatures probably 8-12+ degrees below average. The average of this time of year in New York City is around 52-54 degrees depending on your source.
We’ll also have to watch the Gulf closely, because an area of disturbed weather might try to head up the Appalachians during the weekend. So far models show it being suppressed to our south, however, a brush to the area, with cold air in place, could give parts of the region some light snow or mixed precip.
We’ll continue to watch it all and fine tune everything, but so far we got the timing of the chilly air correct. Now we have to just see how chilly we go.
For today, look for sunshine and seasonably cool conditions. We’ll have highs in the upper 40’s to low 50’s. Tomorrow is an absolute winner and the best day of the week. Look for sunshine and highs in the low 60’s.
Clouds increase Friday, but mild air hangs on for the moment. Expect some PM showers and highs a humid and mild low to mid 60’s. Look for rain overnight and into Saturday morning. It should depart by late morning/early afternoon, then some partial clearing. Highs Saturday in the low to mid 50’s.
Sunshine returns on Sunday and we’ll be on the breezy and seasonably cool side. Highs will be in the upper 40’s to low 50’s. Overnight we dip into the low 30’s for a chilly night, then we don’t recover too well on Monday as that core of our latest cool air settles over us. Highs should be in the mid 40’s.
Tuesday should be quiet and seasonable as we await our next system, then expect a rainy one for Wednesday with late PM dropping temps.
**Forecast by “Angry Ben”**
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS & F5 WEATHER FOR THE USE OF MAPS
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