Pre-Thanksgiving Day Snow Possible For Parts of New England/Northeast
Good morning everyone. As stated for the past few weeks, on or near Thanksgiving Holiday weekend was looking interesting as far as cold air and precipitation. Now that the timing of the cold air is pretty much in focus as far as timing, now we are trying to weed through the data in terms of what that mechanism will look like.
What we do know is that a fairly vigorous front approaching the area late Tuesday into Wednesday, will help bring an unseasonably chilly/cold Thanksgiving Day for the area. How low temps go is still questionable, but we’re looking at 8-12+ degrees below average for Thursday and Friday, then we’ll see about Saturday and Sunday.
With cold air locking in place and a strong system approaching the area, we will also see some onset snow and mixed precipitation for interior parts of the Northeast and New England late Tuesday and/or Wednesday. What makes this interesting, is some models show a wave of low pressure developing off of the coast before racing to the Northeast. If this happens, onset snows may become a little bit more than that. Low pressure would help keep stubborn cold air in place, plus pull down even more cold air into the area, giving spots a prolonged period of snow, all snow, or even in some spots, rain changing to departing snow.
We’ll keep an eye on it all, but at minimum, we have a cold Thanksgiving Day as expected, plus some onset snow and mixed precip in spots Wednesday. It happens from time to time, but it’s definitely considered “early season” if this pans out.
For today, look for a mix of sun and clouds and increasing clouds late. Highs will be a mild 60-65. Rain heads in overnight, and we should keep clouds in the area tomorrow for much of the day. Any leftover precip or light drizzle should be gone by mid morning. Highs in the low to mid 50’s, dropping before sunset.
Sunday is looking sunny and breezy with highs in the near 50/low 50 range. Overnight we go cold as our next quick core of chilly air settles in over the area. We’ll have lows in the 30-35 range, with some 20’s away from the NYC area.
Monday is an unseasonably chilly one with more sunshine, but highs will only reach the mid 40’s.
Clouds increase again on Tuesday ahead of our next system. Rain should hold off until late in the evening or overnight hours. Highs in the mid 50’s. Wednesday we watch the timing and strength of that system and see if low pressure gets going near the coast. It’ll be a rainy one till at least between late morning and mid to late afternoon. Whatever highs we do reach, they should drop by late evening. If low pressure gets going, don’t be surprised to see some late departing wet flakes mixed in with the rain, even in NYC.
Thanksgiving Day is pretty much a lock, with clouds & sun, blustery conditions, and highs in the upper 30’s to low 40’s. The wind may be too much for the Macy’s Parade balloons, we shall see.
**Forecast created by Angry Ben**
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS & F5 WEATHER FOR THE USE OF MAPS
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