Weather in 5/Joe & Joe Weather Show Latest Podcast
NYC Complicated Forecast Remains Interior Northeast Greatest Impact
Good morning everyone. Just as I thought, specific models aren’t handling our late week scenario very well. While the NYC Metro Area has plenty of issues, I don’t think we see this massive ice storm for the NYC Long Island Area. However, it doesn’t take much to cause a big problem, which is why I still suggest we approach this with caution.
SATELLITE
The “big melt” continues today with sunshine and near 40 temps. I suggest you clear out as much as you can in order to minimize complications on Friday.
Clouds increase tomorrow with the chance of some showers. Highs in the mid 40’s will continue to help melt things.
WEATHER RADAR
Friday is where things get complicated. A wave riding along our elongated cold front will bring snow and ice into interior sections of the Northeast. In areas that see prolonged ice N&W of the NYC Area, we will see enough to constitute an ice storm. Don’t be surprised to see Ice Storm Warnings posted in the areas. To the north of the ice/sleet line, areas could see 6-12″ of snow.
For the NYC area, look for a cold rain to mix with sleet as temps drop through the 30’s and into the 20’s. How much precip remaining behind the front remains a question, but the NAM is more realistic as the GFS slowly drifts towards the NAM idea. NYC and Long Island will see a period of mixed precip, freezing rain, and maybe a parting shot of snow, but how much remains to be seen. What we do know is that it probably won’t be what the GFS was presenting 2-3 days ago.
Regardless of what happens, a dangerous situation is brewing for NYC and Long Island overnight Friday as temps dip into the teens. This will cause a flash freeze of everything that fell, plus waterlogged snow still on the ground. It’s safe to say that the following days after Friday will be very crunchy.
The weekend remains sunny and cold, with upper 20’s for Saturday and more teens overnight. Then we modify a bit on Sunday with low to mid 30’s.
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