NYC Intermediate Forecast Long Range Forecast

NYC Intermediate Forecast Long Range Forecast

Good morning everyone! We have lots going on weather-wise even though the next 3 days are going to be quiet and seasonal. Our next round of precipitation will wreak havoc on the Southeast before coming our way, and then I’m thinking this helps pivot us towards summer-like weather for a little while.


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High pressure is the dominant feature in the Northeast, and will be until it starts giving way tomorrow and Sunday. However, it’ll hold on just long enough to save the entire weekend.

Look for clouds and sun today, with upper 70’s to low 80’s. Tomorrow we repeat, but the easterly influence gets a little more pronounced as high pressure begins to slide away.

We should have a little bit more sun tomorrow compared to today though, and we’ll go upper 70’s to low 80’s again, cooler at the shore. For Sunday, that easterly fetch may hamper temps in most spots to the 75-80 range, but we remain dry throughout the day as clouds increase late.


storm free

While we enjoy a nice weekend up here, the Southeast will fall victim to that tropical moisture sliding east and into their region. A slow moving, stubborn low, with plenty of moisture to tap in the Gulf and off of the Atlantic, will help set the stage for heavy thunderstorms and copious amounts rain. I don’t think anyone down there sees a full washout on a day to day basis; but spokes of energy will go over the same spots every few hours, which may cause major flash flooding problems.

With the help of a cold front marching across the Midwest, that help drag everything north and east as high pressure finally lets go of our area. This will create a surge of moisture and energy along the East Coast and into the Northeast. Look for the possibility of on and off heavy rain with rumbles of thunder both Monday and Tuesday. We too, may see flash flood watches issued, but we won’t have the same issues as the Southeast. Our topography and soil makeup is much different and can absorb more rain.

The best chance for the most concentrated, steady rain, will be Monday night and Tuesday, but we could still see periods of heavy rain on Monday.


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Mid-week, I think we clear things out temporarily and dry things out, before our next system clears everything out with another chance of some rain. Nothing like we see Monday and Tuesday, but more rain is possible nonetheless some time between Wednesday night and Friday morning.

I think this sets the stage for a big warm up in our area once everything clears out. We’ll have to wait and see what the end result is between our tropically charged system and the weaker system behind it, but a textbook Bermuda high wants to try and set up shop.

If this happens and it’s positioned correctly, we could see a 5-10 day stretch of very summer-like weather. We’re not talking sunny skies every single day and dry conditions every day, but we could be looking at 80’s+ every day for that stretch.

We’ll see how it all pans out. Mid/late-week next week will be key.

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Please note that with regards to any tropical storms or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.