NYC LONG RANGE REMAINS WET – Happy New Year’s Day everyone, hope everyone had a safe and fun evening last night. Welcome to 2017 and Earth has not made a New Year’s resolution to bring winter back into the NYC area anytime soon. First off, we’re experiencing a beautiful day today as expected, with sunny skies and highs in the mid to upper 40’s. Clouds increase tonight as another system heads into the area, lows in the mid 30’s. A piece-meal soaker is in the works for our Monday through Tuesday night, as waves of low pressure make it’s way into the area along a slow moving frontal boundary. Rain will move in late morning tomorrow, with highs in the low 40’s and an east wind, so it will feel damp and raw all day. Expect more of the same for Tuesday, except it’ll be slightly warmer, with highs in the upper 40’s to near 50. Rain finally clears out late Tuesday night, leaving us with partial clearing Wednesday and highs near 50 again. Total rain amounts will most likely add up to 1-2 inches in most areas.


NYC LONG RANGE REMAINS WET – On Thursday, cold air moves in, making it feel more like January should. Things will be dry for Thursday through at least Saturday as cold air suppresses everything to our south. Expect sunny skies Thursday through Saturday, with highs each day in the low 30’s and lows in the low to mid 20’s. However Friday night, we could see lows in the upper teens to near 20 if winds remain calm, skies remain clear, and radiational cooling could factor in.

Next Sunday, we watch our next system approach the area. This one can give us an over-running situation in which precip may start of as some snow before yet again changing to rain, then ending as flurries on Monday. Because it’s an over-running situation that presents itself, it is impossible to predict this far out what we will see. We will watch it as we get closer and see what the exact setup is. Regardless, we’re probably in cheap thrill territory at best in terms of any snow.

Looking even further down the road, things remain consistently inconsistent. The majority of the systems look to head well to our north and west, occlude, elongate, stall, then break into waves of energy as they move into the area. Anything that goes south, gets broken apart or shoved off the coast too far and fast to affect us. There is cold air available, but cold spells remain short-lived and moderate quickly as these system allow “warmer” air into our corridor. Essentially, we remain in this wet pattern, with brief bouts of both relatively cold and relatively warm weather.  Just remember folks, we made it into late January before the pattern sharply flipped, gave us a huge storm, and left us with a frigid February and very cold March. One two week period does not make the next. For snow lovers, there’s still hope: for those who hate winter, we’re not out of the woods by a long shot yet.


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NYC LONG RANGE REMAINS WET – Satellite depicts our next rainy period taking form in the Tennessee valley, heading east/northeast.

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Northeast quadrant and local radar remain quiet, but it’ll begin to fill in late Monday morning, with periods of steady rain for almost 36 hours.

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