NYC Slight Afternoon Storm Chance Glorious Weekend Ahead
Good afternoon everyone. We have a very warm to hot day here in the NYC area, but at least we are on the mostly dry side compared to yesterday’s wallop of Florida-style rain and thunder. There’s still 1 more front to go, and that’ll be passing through during the evening/nighttime, but that’ll pave the way for an awesome 3 day stretch.
SATELLITE
For today, we are slowly building up that heat, and upper 80’s to possibly a few low 90’s are possible in the notoriously hotter sections of the boroughs. It’ll be a humid one as well, and our last cold front passing by may touch off a few widely scattered storms. Most of the action will be relegated to interior sections of the Northeast, but there could be a few pop-ups lurking around down here. Because of the heat and humidity, any of these isolated cells will be capable of gusty winds, heavy rain, frequent lightning, and hail.
REGIONAL RADAR
Tomorrow, we exchange air masses for a less humid one and a very dry one as well. Look for sunny skies, steady westerlies, and highs in the mid 80’s.
We cool off a bit for the weekend, but that just brings us to near-average temps for this time of year. Expect sunny skies, low humidity, comfortable dew points, and low 80’s both Saturday and Sunday. Overall, it’ll probably be the best weekend we’ve had and/or will see all summer.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
On Monday, we’ll bring back some mid 80’s, possibly a few scattered upper 80’s, then slowly notch up the humidity as the week goes on. This time of year, we sometimes see the temps go down a bit as the humidity rises, and I think that’ll be the case for Tuesday onward. Expect highs in the low to mid 80’s, with increasing humidity as we keep an eye on an approaching system for Wednesday and Thursday.
LOCAL RADAR PHILADELPHIA
In the long range, a brief cool-off remains possible for mid-August, but it remains looking short-lived and very typical for the summers we get here in NYC. In fact, we haven’t seen a typical cool-blast this summer so far, where you’d get that strong July cold front swoop in and 1-2 breezy days in the 70’s and cobalt skies; so we are kind of due if you look at it in that perspective.
We’ll see what happens, but I don’t think we’re done with near 90 temps for the season just yet. Regardless of any type of cool down, whether it be 1 day or 3, heat will attempt to build up in the Midwest again and drift eastward before the month is over. At minimum, that will at least equate to another round of upper 80’s, possibly higher.
It’s very important to not be guided strictly by the models this time of year (or anytime for that matter). They do not handle the pivot towards September very well, and sometimes areas of depicted fronts/precipitation make these models exaggerate the cool temps. For instance, last week the GFS had a major hurricane sitting off the Florida coast tomorrow, and there’s nothing. You have to approach these things with a grain of salt and a lot of skepticism unless theres something concrete going on.
Stay tuned.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
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