Weather in 5/Joe & Joe Weather Show Latest Podcast
NYC Snow Hostile Pattern Begins
Good morning everyone. We’re back from a busy Monday and moving ahead to talk about this new pattern we’ve been mentioning for over 2 weeks. Regardless of the boo’s and hisses from people who take weather and forecasting too personally, Mother Nature is going to do her thing, and I just call it as I see it. Let’s get down to the forecast and the look ahead.
SATELLITE
Today will be our last truly cold one for the next 10+ days, and we’ll have sunshine with low 30’s as highs. Lows will dip into the cold mid 20’s tonight, then we start the recovery tomorrow.
Sunshine continues as we head into the mid to upper 40’s tomorrow, then we stay steady overnight as a warm front goes well north of our area.
WEATHER RADAR
Our big system begins to head in on Thursday, and we will be in the warm sector of this as low pressure heads up into the Great Lakes. This will swing a big cold front our way, with impressive winds ahead of it. Expect increasing clouds Thursday, breezy conditions, chance of some showers in the afternoon, and highs near 60. Areas to our west could creep higher.
Overnight, the winds increase more, and we’ll see some rain, heavy at times. Temps remain steady, and winds along the immediate coast could be 25-35mph sustained with gusts in the 50-60mph range.
We’ll keep the chance for some AM in the forecast Friday AM, then we’ll have decreasing clouds. Things remain breezy, and we’ll have early highs in the mid 50’s before things sink a bit.
Your weekend is looking seasonably cool & dry, with sunshine and mid 40’s.
In the long range, this is one of two, possibly 3 rhyming systems. That’ll bring us to late February with no major snow in our area, plus another chance of milder temps. If the 3rd system goes well north and west, that’ll take us to the first week of March with no major snow, plus a 3rd opportunity for mild temps.
I stress again, this doesn’t mean the end of cold or the end of snow, but it does put us behind the 8 ball statistically and historically. Heading into early March, I actually do see the chance of some unseasonably cold air, but we have to see if there’s anything around to take advantage of that. If there isn’t, then the snow lovers are in real big trouble.
So far most of Long Island hit their seasonal average, but there’s a hole over NYC and they’re below average. It’s not a “year without a winter” type scenario, we surely did have a cold winter. However, the storm track so far hasn’t worked to NYC’s advantage. One decent snowfall in March though, or two moderate ones, would easily put NYC at average.
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