NYC SNOW THREAT REMAINS POSSIBLE
NYC SNOW THREAT REMAINS POSSIBLE
NYC SNOW THREAT REMAINS POSSIBLE – Good morning folks and welcome to the second week of February. At this point, it’s too late to make up for the lack of cold air this winter so far, but it’s never too late to make up for our snowfall deficit. February is a funny month, because the angle of the sun gets higher and things begin to feel “warmer” with spring in reach for the winter-wary, but it is also a notorious snow-maker.
Will we make up for the lack of snow in December and January? That remains to be seen, but we do have a system on our radar and we’re watching it closely. First, we have to get through system #1, which will be a strong low heading into the Great Lakes area; pushing a warm front over our area on Tuesday with a steady, cold rain. Then, a cold front will approach on Wednesday with another shot of rain and temps 55-60 in our area.
NYC SNOW THREAT REMAINS POSSIBLE
After Wednesday’s system departs, cold air will filter in and any precip left behind may end as flurries. According to several models, including the GFS, quickly on the heels of this system is a quick moving, weak upper air disturbance, which will dive down from the Chicago area, and head to the Carolina coast. Once it nears the ocean, it energizes and throws a wall of moisture into our area.
This does not look like a powerful system in terms of a Blizzard or Nor’easter. However, it seems as of now that it could be enough to dump some snow into the NYC area before quickly heading out. If I were a betting man, my gut feeling tells me that IF things hold and the system plays itself out in this manner, we’re looking at a quick shot of 2-4/3-6″ of heavy, wet snow in the general area.
Timing is key, also how much cold air behind Wednesday’s system is key. Too much cold air too far south could suppress the system and kick it out to sea with a whimper, so we will be keeping a close eye on it as it unfolds. For now, let’s get through tomorrow and Wednesday, and I will continue to update on the changes, if any.
Satellite
NYC SNOW THREAT REMAINS POSSIBLE – After a clear and cool day today, a large system will begin to make it’s way towards us, which is visible heading into the midwest today.
Northeast Radar
Things are very quiet today, and will remain so until early tomorrow morning in the form of rain associated with a warm front.
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