Weather in 5/Joe & Joe Weather Show Latest Podcast
NYC Snow Winding Down Final Storm Synopsis
Good afternoon everyone. Everything is starting to slowly come to an end, with snow starting to rapidly dissipate in intensity in the NYC area, while holding on a little longer for Long Island, especially eastern Suffolk. Our blizzard unfolded as expected, with a few surprises as far as some localized amounts on the south shores of Queens, Nassau, plus enhanced amounts out east. We’ll explain how it all went down below.
SATELLITE
As far as models are concerned, NONE of them did a specifically great job until the short range NAM at the very end. This is why there comes a point in which model watching needs to end, and radar watching begins.
Our blizzard’s path in terms of low pressure path, the GFS did the better job compared to the Euro. Low pressure tracked slightly more west than the GFS predicted, but decidedly more east than the Euro’s prediction. However, the Euro did a better job predicting the strength of our low pressure, and earlier development. The NAM also had issues with strength, but not as much as the GFS, and the predicted path was similar to the GFS. All of our models did a poor job with speed.
WEATHER RADAR
Strength and speed were key to keeping our amounts low, and with a stronger, slower storm, it was able to put down some impressive amounts locally. Also, some of the heavier bands set up further west even though the storm itself was not able to make it further west. The cutoff between a major snowstorm and a moderate one, was quite impressive although expected.
We’re still waiting for final amounts to come in since it’s still snowing in spots, but the NYC area had a wide range of accumulations; ranging from 4″ to 10″+ in spots. Areas of the south shore of Queens did the best as far as higher amounts. Areas west of NYC came in with a wide range also, ranging from 3-8″ depending on if you experienced any lift due to topography. The Jersey shore did the best as far as Jersey is concerned, and we are still waiting for the final numbers. 10-15″ is a sure bet in spots.
Measuring snowfall as we get into the more intense areas of convection is going to be very difficult due to blowing and drifting of snow. We do know that areas of Nassau were pushing 15″ with a couple of more hours of snowfall missing. Suffolk got absolutely hammered, where areas near Robert Moses, the Sagitkos, Pine Barrens, and Forks, are going to put up some big numbers.
Southeast New England remains the winner, where we will be measuring snow in feet, not inches. Thank you all for tuning in, and we did the best we could with this complicated system, disagreeing models, and lots of dry air to
BE SURE TO DOWNLOAD THE FREE METEOROLOGIST JOE CIOFFI WEATHER APP &
ANGRY BEN’S FREE WEATHER APP “THE ANGRY WEATHERMAN!
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS & F5 WEATHER FOR THE USE OF MAPS
Please note that with regards to any severe weather, tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.