NYC SUMMER GEARS TURNING

NYC SUMMER GEARS TURNING – Good morning everyone. I’ve been hinting at this for the past week or so; the old pattern is starting to crack and we are on our way to some nicer, warmer conditions in the New York City area and the rest of the Northeast.

First and foremost, we have a fantastic day unfolding, with sunny skies and seasonable temps. Light winds will become southerly by late morning/early afternoon, and we’ll see 75-80 degree temps, slightly cooler at the shore with those southerlies.

Clouds start to roll in tonight with a weak frontal boundary, and that’ll bring us mostly cloudy skies, increased humidity, and the chance of a few scattered shows and thunderstorms throughout the day tomorrow. No rainouts and nothing concentrated, plus most of the action will go to our north; highs a muggy upper 70’s to low 80’s.

On Thursday, the sun breaks out again, but winds may be a little too gusty to get the full effect of the enhanced warming phenomena of sinking air. That being said, sunny skies rule the roost and most areas will see 80-85 regardless of the gusty, west wind. For Friday, we cool off slightly and winds begin to subside; highs 75-80 for the area.

Father’s Day weekend is looking very solid as of this moment. It also begins the transition into some more summer-like weather and the seedling replacement of our old pattern. Look for dry and sunny conditions for Saturday, highs 80-85; then warmer and more humid on Sunday as high pressure moves off the coast and begins to pump some Florida-sourced air into the area; highs in the mid to upper 80’s.

As the old pattern begins to break down, it’ll be replaced with more summer-friendly sources of high pressure; with our highs drifting over areas of the Atlantic that’ll give is a more lasting, west/southwesterly flow. The first set looks to set up off of North Carolina, then possibly finishing up the month with a true Bermuda High-type setup.

What this means for us is warmer temps, more humidity, and a more typical late spring/early summer pattern. In the long run, it also means stronger cold fronts, the increased chance of thunderstorm activity, and a mix of cool/dry days in between the hot ones. I’m also still maintaining that we have a decent shot at some front-related 90’s in or close by to the NYC area before month’s end.