Weather in 5/Joe & Joe Weather Show Latest Podcast
NYC Tropical Update Latest On Tropical Storm Henri
Good morning everyone. The remnants of Fred are starting to pull away and into New England, taking some of the clouds with it. That’ll open us up to a few breaks of sunshine and very warm conditions, but we continue to watch Tropical Storm Henri; which will most likely indirectly or directly impact our weather for Sunday.
SATELLITE
We’ll break down the next 2 days first since that’s an easy one. Expect Fred to take whatever remaining showers skipping across the north shore and forks of Long Island, into SE New England over the next couple of hours. We’ll have tropical skies, a few blue patches, very humid conditions, and highs in the upper 80’s.
We’ll have some more breaks of sun tomorrow, the slight chance of a shower or storm, and highs again in the muggy upper 80’s.
WEATHER RADAR
Clouds will begin to increase overnight Friday and into Saturday. We’ll hang out in the mid 80’s Saturday with the chance of a few showers as tropical moisture increases.
Sunday remains a very complicated forecast when it comes to Henri, and the final call won’t give us much time to get ready if need be. As of this moment, our short range NAM model brings Henri very close, possible making landfall near Montauk. This is a concern because the latest GFS isn’t that far off, raking Henri over Nantucket, Martha’s Vineyard, and Cape Cod.
Obviously if Henri would make landfall near Montauk, this would directly impact Long Island in a (1991) Hurricane Bob-like fashion. This would also possibly give NYC tropical storm conditions or at minimum, giving the area tropical storm conditions during any bands that may reach NYC. With a full moon on Sunday, storm surge would also be an issue. Low lying areas in NYC and Nassau County would see some flooding, especially in areas such as Broad Channel, Far Rockaway, Baldwin, Freeport, Long Beach (canals & Park Ave/State Streets) Lindenhurst, and Bayville etc.
On the other hand, a landfall 50-80 miles east of Montauk may change the direct impacts, but would still give our area some sort of storm surge. This would still put the areas listed above at risk for minor/slightly more than minor flooding.
Even with all of this, there’s still a corridor open for this to go out to sea and we are not locked in yet. However, it is important that you plan and get ready due to the short notice nature of this storm. If we lock in tomorrow, you’ll have tomorrow and Saturday to prep and that’s it. My suggest is if you live in Suffolk, especially eastern Suffolk, plan now as if this is happening. If it doesn’t, it doesn’t, no big deal.
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Please note that with regards to any severe weather, tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.