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NYC WINTER BREAK BIRDS REJOICE LONG RANGE MODELS WONKY
Good morning everyone. The wonderful sound of birds chirping fills the air again this morning as we go even warmer today than yesterday. We’ll have some rain coming back into the area in a couple of days, but beyond that, long range models cough up a fur ball.
Sunny skies reign supreme today with light winds and highs in the mid to upper 50’s. Most of the upper 50’s will be experienced in areas such as downtown Brooklyn and central Queens. Right along the immediate shore, expect upper 40’s to low 50’s with the wind coming out of the south gently but cool.
We repeat tomorrow, but could go slightly warmer IF the morning patchy fog can stay minimal. If we maximize the sunshine, expect highs near 60, except low to mid 50’s along the immediate shore. If fog hangs on a little too long, expect a carbon copy of today with mid to upper 50’s; beautiful nonetheless.
Cooler air sneaks in without a whimper tomorrow night with the help of a brief, reinforcing shot of modified Canadian air. We’ll drop down into the 25-30 degree realm overnight tomorrow, then recover to slightly above average temps on Wednesday with 1 more sunny day and upper 30’s to low 40’s.
Rain finally moves back in Wednesday night as our pseudo-spring finishes its visit.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
Rain continues on Thursday and we’re getting a better idea of the temperature profile in terms of where the front is going to be on any given day. Expect rain to last till late morning/early afternoon on Thursday, gloomy, and highs in the mid 40’s.
Rain returns Thursday night as warmer air pushes back, then we’ll have a slight pause in the rain Friday afternoon before the cold front finishes the job to give us more rain later Friday; highs 50-55.
Colder air works in for the weekend, but it’ll be average in nature. As long as nothing gets hung up and keeps moving, it’ll be sunny and seasonably cold both Saturday and Sunday, highs in the mid to upper 30’s.
As far as the long range models are concerned, put them on the shelf until things straighten out a bit. We’ve discussed this in the past as Joe Cioffi has too. When models depict a warm front from coast to coast and snow/ice stretching from California to North Carolina, it’s time to take a break and enjoy the nice weather we’re having right now; so get out there, get some fresh air, and don’t worry about snow, it’s not coming.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
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