QUIET NYC START ACTIVITY RESUMES MIDWEEK

QUIET NYC START ACTIVITY RESUMES MIDWEEK

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QUIET NYC START ACTIVITY RESUMES MIDWEEK

 

QUIET NYC START ACTIVITY RESUMES MIDWEEK – Good afternoon everyone! Seasonably cold air is with us as well as some flurries scattered across the area. This will be the narrative for the rest of the weekend along with the beginning of the week. Tonight, we’ll have lows in the low 30’s and some partial clearing. The sun will return tomorrow, but it don’t do much; breezy and highs in the low 40’s. Tomorrow night will be chilly and breezy, with lows in the mid to upper 20’s. For Monday and Tuesday, clouds and sun, highs in the upper 30’s and low’s again in the upper 20’s to near 30 on Tuesday night; with some clouds as insulation.

QUIET NYC START ACTIVITY RESUMES MIDWEEK

On Wednesday, a clipper system bringing with it a reinforcing shot of cold air, will bring the possibility of some light rain and/or snow. This will be a quick shot and accumulation, if any, will be very light as of now. However, with the possibility of the low being energized as it nears the Great Lakes/Atlantic coast, whatever quick burst of precip we do get, could be moderate in intensity. We’ll have to wait and see what the final outcome is on this one and if it has the moisture to work with. I would say by late Sunday night into Monday, we’ll have a pretty good idea.

Wednesday’s system will keep the temperatures in the mid 30’s as highs and mid to upper 20’s as lows for the NYC area during Thursday and Friday. On Friday, we begin to watch the approach of another system, this one potentially more powerful, and this will dictate what our temperatures will do for next Saturday through Tuesday.

QUIET NYC START ACTIVITY RESUMES MIDWEEK

For Sunday into Monday, we watch moisture gather along the Gulf States/Mississippi Valley and wait to see what it does. There are several scenarios in which can happen, all of which depend on the behavior of the cold air settling in with Wednesday’s clipper and the movement of the high pressure system to our north. It is very possible that the high is stubborn and suppresses this system to our south. However, the potential is there for the high to slide towards the Gulf of Maine, and open the window for cyclo-genesis to occur off of the Mid-Atlantic coast.

The red line represents one scenario, where a moisture laden system is brought up the Appalachian chain if the high slips too far to our south and east. This would primarily be a rain event.  The black line represents a scenario if the high hangs back, but slides just far enough towards Maine. This could give us a moderate to heavy snow event, possibly starting off as rain along the immediate coast before a changeover. The last scenario is the blue line, where the high holds on strong, and pushes everything to our south and the wave goes out with a whimper.

Stay tuned for more updates as we follow Wednesday’s prospect of some light snow, as well as the bigger system lurking around the corner for late Sunday through Tuesday.

 

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QUIET NYC START ACTIVITY RESUMES MIDWEEK – Satellite shows a big pool of seasonably cold air filtering down into the NYC area and quiet conditions for now.

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Aside from some lake effect snows along the Great Lake shorelines, all is quiet except for some scattered flurries, which will die down after sunset.

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