Ragged Hurricane Isaias Continues Trek Towards East Coast

 

Ragged Hurricane Isaias Continues Trek Towards East Coast

Good morning everyone. Hurricane Isaias has revealed to us that it’s not a morning person and it’s looking kinda worse for the wear structurally as shear begins to influence its path. Regardless, winds are still clocking in at 85mph, and it can cause a wide array of issues for the Southeast Coast before it begins to impact our area in lesser form.

SATELLITE

storm free

We have a beautiful day today before all of the mechanics influencing Hurricane Isaias introduce more moisture in the area. Look for a sunny and very warm to hot day, with highs in the upper 80’s to low 90’s.

REGIONAL RADAR

storm free

We’ll have an increased chance of showers and storms tomorrow afternoon with a frontal system hanging back to our west. That’ll also introduce more clouds than sun and we’ll have highs in the upper 80’s to near 90 depending on how much sun we see.

LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY

storm free

Monday is looking similar, but we could see a little extra sun in the mix. The threat for showers and storms remain, and we’ll have highs in the upper 80’s to low 90’s depending on that sun factor.

LOCAL RADAR PHILADELPHIA
storm free

Tuesday is looking interesting as we continue to watch Isaias. So far, the storm remains compact and is having a rough time getting its act together. Although it has 85mph winds, the structure is beginning to suffer from the steering currents/shear that’ll eventually bring it in our backyard.

Regardless, those along the Florida coast and NC/SC coast, still need to take this system seriously. We could get lucky and it continues to have problems staying organized, but it could also surprise us as it enters a notorious strip of water for development. These are the joys of hurricane forecasting in terms of how they each have their own personality and rarely any go “as planned”.

As for us up here in NYC and Long Island, we have a few things working to our advantage on this one. The obviously one is strength and interaction with land before it gets here. If it stays a rather weak hurricane in the Southeast, we won’t have a hurricane on our hands up here. (We do not expect a hurricane up here) It’s also a compact system, and doesn’t nearly have the same scope of size as let’s say an Irene; and obviously not a Sandy.

It’ll also be on the move, which is something that would’ve concerned us had it been stronger and taken a different route (due to the fact that speed would allow it to stay together longer). In this case though, it’ll be in and out and gone rather quickly. The last advantage depends on timing, but as of this very moment, (Tropical Storm) Isaias may row through our area during low tide. Low tide in general throughout the area on Tuesday is 2-3pm. That’ll help minimize any flooding, and keep this event similar to a moderate/strong Nor’easter in terms of water.

Let’s hope the timing stays on track, and we’ll continue to watch it closely.

MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS

Please note that with regards to any tropical storms or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.