SCATTERED STRONG SEVERE NYC STORMS POSSIBLE TODAY
SCATTERED STRONG SEVERE NYC STORMS POSSIBLE TODAY
SCATTERED STRONG SEVERE NYC STORMS POSSIBLE TODAY – Good morning everyone! After some morning sprinkles, we have a hot, humid one ahead of us today. We’ll have sun and clouds and highs in the upper 80’s to near 90 today. Dew points are in the upper 60’s today, so with an area of energy passing by plus some sunshine here and there, we could see storms pop up at any point from mid-afternoon onward. The biggest threat with these storms will be torrential rain, frequent lightning, and gusty winds. However, anyone who does see a storm, especially upstate NY, northwest NJ, and parts of PA, could see some hail as well.
Because this boundary is weak, the heat will continue on for tomorrow and Thursday. That being said, things get real interesting for Thursday, especially in the late afternoon/evening, as we see a much stronger boundary entering the area with the help of a few waves of low pressure as well. This might very well spark off widespread showers and thunderstorms, plus a much broader area of severe weather compared to today. We’ll have upper 80’s on Wednesday, low to mid 90’s on Thursday, and near 80 on Friday; evidence of the difference between the two air masses and the concern for severe weather.
After we get past this, things return to normal for the weekend temperature-wise. Average temps are around 83 this time of year for the New York City area, and we should see temps in the low to mid 80’s over the weekend. Once we hit mid-week next week, we start to closely watch the prospect of some prolonged above average temps into the last 3rd of July. This all depends on the final position of where high pressure drifts and whether we get a Bermuda High-type set-up.
It doesn’t look like a textbook Bermuda High, it actually looks to try and set up a little further south and west. This would bring more WSW into the area as opposed to SSW winds. What would this mean for us if it happens? In Theory, we would get very warm to hot weather all the way to the immediate shore, and possibly a higher occurrence of nocturnal storms as energy travels around the edges of this ridge. We would also have to watch for a stronger than normal cold front once the ridge starts to collapse. It could approach on an angle that would be perfect for severe weather in the Northeast and all the way to the beaches. It would also suppress any would-be tropical systems well to our south, putting south Florida and the Gulf in the path should something develop. As of now though, there is nothing as far as immediate threats.
We’ll keep an eye on everything as it unfolds and watch for the heat, how long, and how it ends if it does come to fruition.
Satellite View
SCATTERED STRONG SEVERE NYC STORMS POSSIBLE TODAY – Waves of energy travel along a weak boundary, giving us the chance of some scattered storms today, then a better chance of some more widespread severe weather on Thursday.
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