NYC ABOVE NORMAL WARMTH THIS WEEK
NYC ABOVE NORMAL WARMTH THIS WEEK
NYC ABOVE NORMAL WARMTH THIS WEEK – Good morning everyone! Our active, fast moving pattern continues, but overnight there were signs that the pattern is shifting slightly, so we need to make a few tweaks for the week. This also means some changes further down the road, but let’s start off with the immediate forecast.
Today and tomorrow remain the same forecast-wise, with highs in the low to mid 80’s today and the slight chance of a shower or storm. Tomorrow remains on target for a hot day, with highs in the upper 80’s to near 90. A frontal system is also on target and should bring a good shot at showers and thunderstorms by late morning and into the evening. Some of these storms could reach severe limits, so we will keep an eye on things as they develop and progress throughout the day.
Also as forecasted, instability will remain in the area throughout the entire week, giving us the chance of some scattered showers and/or thunderstorms in the New York City area at any point in the afternoon/evening Wednesday and Thursday, and a slightly better chance on Friday as waves of energy upstate sink further south. Because most of this energy will now be focused further north for the time being, we should notch up the temps a bit. Instead of low to mid 80’s originally forecasted for the rest of the week after our hot Tuesday, expect the heat to continue with upper 80’s Wednesday and Thursday. Slightly cooler temps may prevail on Friday if low pressure drifts across the area.
For the long range, I discussed a few days ago that there were signs heat will try and build on the east coast, but there were questions as to whether it can make it further north than Philadelphia. With last nights shift in the models, it also relaxes the maritime pushback, which may mean a prolonged period of hot weather for the New York City metro area come mid to late July. I’ve been watching the prospect of this for nearly three weeks now and for the last week, it looks as if the chances were diminishing. However, things are looking to try and snap back into place and we could be looking at a major heatwave for the area. Stayed tuned as we keep an eye on all of this and also continue to watch south Florida and the Gulf for any tropical systems.
Satellite View
NYC ABOVE NORMAL WARMTH THIS WEEK – Thunderstorms move across the Great Lakes, upper Mississippi Valley, and Ohio Valley as we prepare for a hot day tomorrow. Above normal heat sticks around for the week and we could see some showers and storms at any time throughout the next 5 days. We continue to watch a tropical wave well east of the Bahamas, but a ridge building in the area looks to suppress it to our south.
Northeast Radar
Radar is quiet as of now, but we could see an isolated storm pop up at any time this afternoon. Radar will get busier tomorrow with some severe storms possible, then we return to some lingering instability and scattered pop up storms possible for the entire week.
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