WINTER STORM INNOCUOS RAINY START BEGINS
Good morning everyone. We have a cold and dry morning here in the New York City area. Meanwhile, the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic are gearing up for a major winter storm. For those listeners in the affected area, do not let the rainy start fool you; this was expected.
For our area up here in NYC, you’re waking up to low to mid 20’s and winds have settled down. Expect highs in the mid 30’s throughout most of the area. Overnight tonight, we go back down into the low to mid 20 again and light winds.
Tomorrow, sunny and dry weather continues and we remain below normal; highs in the upper 30’s to near 40. Monday looks like a carbon-copy day, then we creep away from the near 40 realm for a bit as some more cold air bleeds in. Look for mid to upper 30’s both Tuesday and Wednesday, then we slowly climb out of the basement towards the end of the week as our next system approaches.
Unless we get some flurries as things depart, our system next weekend remains looking like a warm, rain-maker. Then, cold air rushes back in again to knock us down below normal.
For our friends in the Southeast and Mid Atlantic, the ingredients are coming together for their major winter storm. As expected, rain is pushing into areas of SC and NC well ahead of the main core of this system.
Cold air will push back and change rain into an icy mix, freezing rain, then eventually snow; especially for areas such as Charlotte and Raleigh, NC. In South Carolina, cities like Greenville should expect a dangerous period of freezing rain/wintry mix and a 1-3″ layer of snow on top of it; while Spartanburg may see 3-6″, and also a period of dangerous freezing rain.
Asheville, NC will probably be one of the big winners in the snow department as 12-18″+ is likely in the mountainous regions of North Carolina. However, they’re slightly better prepared compared to cities like Charlotte and Raleigh-Durham; where 4-8″ can cause just as many problems.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
In Charlotte, expect rain to start between late morning and early afternoon. As they head into evening, expect temps to cool off and things begin to change to a wintry mix, then freezing rain. A period of snow is likely late overnight and into tomorrow. This is where you should get the bulk of that 4-8″+ accumulation, but it’s going to be over a layer of ice, so do not venture out.
For Raleigh-Durham, conditions and timing should actually be very similar, but your 4-8″ potential of snow should come with less freezing rain. However, there will still be a layer of ice as any wet roads will freeze as that snow begins to fall. As things depart, a period of freezing rain on top of the snow could make things crunchy and hard to shovel.
Overall, the entire system is gone by late Monday/early Tuesday, with a period of rain as things depart. For those who live down there, you know the area and you know how dangerous things can get compared to the New York City area. Many roads will be untreated and treacherous. Multiple vehicle car accident are likely and roads will clog up quick. Stay home until everything is over and relatively warmer air returns to melt it all.
Stay tuned as we watch everything unfold, plus watch for next week’s late-week system here for the New York City area.