Frigid Air Drifts Over Region
Good morning everyone. Deep winter has arrived, albeit a short visit. We’re experiencing frigid air across the region, as well as half of the Country due to a relatively strong push of arctic air. We’re looking at the long range forecast today, and this arctic air simply doesn’t last. It doesn’t mean the chances of snow diminish, but we are looking at a quiet week at minimum for the most part.
Our next system is due in some time between Tuesday and Wednesday. As of now, the National Weather Service is calling for rain changing to mix and then back to rain, but it’s looking very iffy if we even see any mixing. Perhaps some higher elevations in the Northeast could see some onset snow or mix, but along the Coastal Plain, this looks like an all-rain event to me.
There are a couple of systems behind this one (this one lingers), and we should see two more before the end of the month. Of those two, the last one seems like the “best” opportunity to see something out of it; however, it is way too early to tell and it’s simply just fantasy right now. Regardless, more arctic air wants to move in some time during the first week of February.
Your local forecast is below –
SATELLITE
Today is the coldest day of the season so far, with highs 20-25 at best. Lows dip into the mid-teens tonight, with some single digits well N&W of the NYC area.
Sunshine continues tomorrow with another very cold one. Highs will be in the 25-30 range, with upper teens to low 20’s overnight.
WEATHER RADAR
On Monday we modify with near 40 temps and mid to upper 20’s overnight. Clouds begin to move in on Tuesday and we will end on a cloudy note w/ low 40’s. Light cold rain or mix moves in overnight, and any mixing turns to all cold rain on Wednesday for a raw feel & mid 40’s.
More rain is possible Thursday and Friday with our system being slow to depart as waves of low pressure develop along the old front stalled out along the south. There is no risk of snow with this as we hang out in the mid to upper 40’s, possibly 50.
Expect another wave of low pressure to develop over the weekend and head Northeast. This is the one where we have to watch the timing and positioning of low pressure and cold air. As of this moment, the biggest risk of snow remains reserved for interior parts of the Northeast and New England; but a 100 mile further drop of cold air and developing low pressure could bring that snow further down.
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