POSSIBLE LANDFALL FOR MATTHEW, SOAKING THE CAROLINAS

POSSIBLE LANDFALL FOR MATTHEW, SOAKING THE CAROLINAS

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Hurricane Matthew is continuing to hug the coastline, with the eye wall moving practically over Charleston, SC. A technical landfall is likely before all is said in done, but that will be of little importance to the Caroline residents. In addition to damaging winds and storm surge, the Carolinas are getting saturated with heavy rain. The latest total for Charleston is 9.39″, and it’s not over yet. Before the morning is over, Charleston will likely have seen more rain than Central Park has since Independence Day…combined!

093917w5_nl_sm

The latest NHC track has Matthew continuing to weaken as it turns out to sea and does a 180 degree turn back towards the Bahamas. While Matthew is likely to be no more than a depression at point, is will still cause unease for the island nation, one that was ravaged by a Category 4 storm only a few days ago.

BULLETIN
HURRICANE MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER  42
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
1100 AM EDT SAT OCT 08 2016

...MATTHEW MAKES LANDFALL SOUTHEAST OF MCCLELLANVILLE SOUTH
CAROLINA...
...SERIOUS INLAND FLOODING EVENT UNFOLDING...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.0N 79.4W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SSW OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM SW OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* North of Altamaha Sound to Surf City

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* North of Surf City to Cape Lookout

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* North of Surf City to Duck
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Matthew was
located near latitude 33.0 North, longitude 79.4 West. Matthew is
moving toward the northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this motion
is expected to continue today.  On the forecast track, the center of
Matthew will continue to move near or over the coast of South
Carolina today, and be near the coast of southern North Carolina by
tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Although weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours,
Matthew is expected to remain near hurricane strength while the
center is near the coasts of South Carolina and North Carolina.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles
(295 km). Sustained winds of 53 mph (85 km/h) with a gust to 69 mph
(111 km/h) has been observed at a private weather station near
Winyah Bay, South Carolina, within the past hour. A wind gust to 58
mph (93 km/h) was recently reported at Charleston, South Carolina.
Strong wind gusts are also occurring well inland in North and South
Carolina. Laurinberg, North Carolina, recently reported a wind gust
of 55 mph (89 km/h).

The minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force plane was 967
mb (28.56 inches).

Below are local and regional radars, and you can clearly see the heavy rain off to the south and west of NYC. Expect a post a little later this morning discussing how much rain (if any) NYC can expect, plus an outlook on the week ahead.    -GB

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In case you missed them I’ve been previewing the upcoming winter in a series of posts and videos. Here are the first 2. More will be coming along. Links to the latest posts are below.

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