NYC AUTUMN WEATHER COMING FLORENCE VISITS EUROPE
Good morning everyone. Our early NYC autumn weather is on schedule and while I didn’t think I’d have to talk about the tropics for a while, I’d like to answer a few technical questions I got yesterday about Hurricane Florence’s remnants.
First and foremost, we have a mild/warm (depending on how you look at it) and humid day today as we await our first seasonal September weekend. Yesterday I mentioned that cloud cover may keep us from reaching the 80’s and this seems to be holding true. We’re going to keep the temps conservative and at a relatively muggy 75-80 today. We’ll have the slight chance of a shower or storm after midnight as that front passes and things could get a little gusty as the front gets close.
With not much energy behind our cold front, I’m going to take the isolated popcorn storm off the table for tomorrow; so expect a sunny and dry day, decreasing humidity, a light northerly flow, and highs in the low to mid 70’s – on par for this time of year. The north flow continues on Sunday, with sun and clouds, highs in the low 70’s.
THE ARGUMENT WITH FLORENCE
There has been talk on the internet and social media about Florence returning. While some meteorology sites claim that Florence is returning, sparking talk on social media, the National Hurricane Center is ignoring the story. I’m with the NHC wholeheartedly on this one.
On my last tropical update, I mentioned specifically that we need to watch old, stalled out fronts; and that’s exactly what this is. Florence’s actual core of energy is racing into northern Europe; what’s left behind is not Florence, but the FRONT that helped kick Florence out of the United States. Now that this front is stalled out in the central Atlantic, we must watch and see if anything develops along the tail-end of it. If anything were to develop (if it develops before anything else), it would be called Kirk, not Florence, because it’s not Florence.
Regardless of the semantics and arguments, it needs to be watched anyway. As of now there is nothing and chance of development is low as of this moment. We have no immediate threats to the area and we will continue to watch the areas and features I specified earlier this week. Just as we had a quiet August, a quiet period after Florence does not make a quiet rest of the season; so we will watch for any potential increase in activity. Again, our main focus at this point will be old fronts and closer into the Caribbean area; but we are quiet at the moment.
The big story here is – enjoy the great weather coming! As much as I love summer, true September and October weather is my favorite time of year.