NYC Cloudy Mild Halloween 2022
Good morning everyone. A few weeks ago I threw out a Hail-Mary pass for our Halloween forecast, and we got very close to how things are going to unfold today. Aside from that, we are looking for some mild opportunities before that 2nd 3rd of November hits, then things may get a little wonky, and models have been sticking to this idea for a couple of weeks now.
SATELLITE
As for our Halloween, I had called in the long range forecast for clouds and sun, with upper 50’s to mid 60’s possible. Now that we are here, we are looking at more clouds than sun, the slight chance of some drizzle on Eastern Long Island, and highs in the upper 50’s to mid 60’s depending on your location. Best chance to see those mid 60’s will be in NYC proper, then 60-65 for the metro area in general, and upper 50’s out east.
Tonight, clouds lower and thicken, with the chance of some showers. Showers will continue into tomorrow AM, with more low to mid 60’s likely for highs.
WEATHER RADAR
The sun returns on Wednesday for a really nice early November day. We’ll be on the mild side with 65-70 degree temps, then we take a temporary dip Thursday with more sunshine and low to mid 60’s.
Milder air will begin to creep in on Friday as we head back into the upper 60’s under full sunshine; then we go very mild over the weekend. As of now, it looks as if that ridge will pan out and be able to build, gifting us with 70-75 degree temps Saturday and Sunday (cooler along the shore).
In the long range, it’s possible we could hold onto the mild air 1-3 more days past next weekend, but all roads right now lead to a much cooler (or colder) pattern 9-12 days down the line. There’s talk about coastal systems, post-tropical/extra-tropical storms, and whatnot, but the models have been playing these weird-scenario games for weeks now; which is why I didn’t discuss an increase in tropical activity that didn’t exist yet.
We will do the same here and pump the brakes in terms of any tropical or wintry weather talk; but again, regardless of how the scenario plays out, all signs point to a colder November regardless of our very mild start.
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