NYC HALLOWEEN 2018 FORECAST HOLDS SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES SOUTH
Good morning everyone. Stubborn clouds have finally left the New York City area, paving the way for some sunshine in the area before our next gulf-sourced system. That system will also be capable of bringing severe weather and tornadic activity to the Mississippi Valley and the Gulf Coast before heading our way.
Sunny skies and seasonably cool temps dominate today, as well as a steady NW wind. Expect highs in the low to mid 50’s. Tomorrow for Halloween, we warm up a bit as winds swing around to the SSW. While a SSW typically helps warm things up (and it will), it’ll also help keep us in the normal to slightly above normal realm temp-wise because of the cool water. Look for sunny skies to start, then increasing clouds late, highs in the upper 50’s to low 60’s; possibly slightly cooler along the immediate shore. We’ll also tack on a mild Wednesday night with the help of cloud cover and our next system approaching; lows in the low to mid 50’s.
Clouds continue to filter in for Thursday as “warm” air drifts over the area and our system continues its march towards the Northeast quadrant of the U.S. We’ll have a few peeks of sun, especially in the morning, and highs 65-70; cooler near the shore. Rain arrives late Thursday night and should be with us for most of Friday. For Friday, that rain could be heavy at times and we might see a few embedded thunderstorms as well; highs in the mid to upper 60’s.
Those storms we may get on Friday, will be nothing like the storms our friends in the Mississippi Valley and Gulf coast may experience prior to us as our system gets going. That vigorous low, accompanied by a sharp cold front and dry air behind it, could be enough to set up a squall line containing damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes across the south late Wednesday evening through late Thursday night.
So for those in Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Tennessee, Georgia, and northern parts of Florida, please pay attention to your local weather outlets and gov’t officials for updates and any warnings that may pop up.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
Meanwhile back at home, everything slowly begins to clear out for a half and half weekend sun-wise. Clouds may linger early Saturday with highs in the mid to upper 50’s; then the sun settles back in but so does the cooler air, with low to mid 50’s and breezy for Sunday.
Your long range continues to look fairly active as we reset the atmosphere once again after this next system; waiting and watching to see what the Gulf has in store for us again as energy drops in the from west and from Canada.