Weather in 5/Joe & Joe Weather Show Latest Podcast
NYC Long Range Forecast Late August Early September
Good morning everyone. We have a beautiful day coming up with much more comfortable conditions, and even though temps stay in the comfortable range all week, the mugginess returns to make things feel warmer than it is. I’ll be discussing the tropics and the long range here, which actually go hand-in-hand as tropical activity impacted the heat that was expected for an extended amount of time.
SATELLITE
For today, expect mostly sunny skies, a light northerly breeze, and comfortable conditions with highs in the low 80’s. Low 80’s will continue tomorrow with sunshine, but humidity will increase late and clouds will begin to roll in overnight.
We’ll have more clouds than sun on Tuesday, with the slight chance of showers and semi-humid low 80’s. The same goes for Wednesday with the clouds and chance for showers, but we bump up the humidity a little more as low 80’s continue. For Thursday, we’ll be watching Fred’s moisture to our southwest (coming up the interior, not the coast), and we’ll have a juicy tropical day with more low 80’s.
Tropical moisture hangs around to end the week and start the weekend, but I think we see some increasing sunshine in between any spotty showers. That’ll help bump us up into the mid 80’s, with possible mid to upper 80’s on Saturday before we settle back into mid 80’s Sunday.
WEATHER RADAR
In the Tropics, we are watching Fred and Grace. Fred is expected to recapture Tropical Storm status before hitting the panhandle of Florida, Alabama, and possibly Mississippi. We’ll watch for some quick strengthening even though there won’t be a lot of time over the Gulf due to Fred’s increasing speed over the next 24hrs.
Grace is caught up in the islands and not doing very well, but we’ll watch as she is expected to emerge into the Gulf as well. She may stay more west than Fred, opening up Louisiana and/or the Texas coast for some problems.
In the long range, I actually see no ridge-related heat. That doesn’t mean we won’t see 90’s again, but as of now, those 90’s would have to be attained with the perfect timing of a cold front and sunshine. I do not believe summer is “over” and we have PLENTY of warm and humid days left, but I don’t see any very hot weather brewing in 3-4 day blocks at a time. That’s what I see at least into early September, but you know how NY can be this time of year, with mini “heat waves” possible late in the season and in mid to late Sept.
This all has to do with the tropical activity which is impossible to predict when nothing exists at the point of generating a long range forecast. All you need is a misplaced low pressure system to put a little ripple in the flow to send things slightly off-kilter. Our ridge that was expected to take hold for an extended amount of time, couldn’t hold on with everything else going on around it.
That being said, the same activity that changed the outcome of things, could send things back the other way if we get a new system, or even drive us into an early fall. Nothing is definite, but we call out the things we see and the trends. Stay tuned and we’ll see if the next 3 weeks materialize as forecasted.
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