NYC Mild Period Before Winter Return?
Good morning everyone. We’re starting to break out of our arctic blast with some mild conditions expected over the next several days. Is this the trend for our winter? Or is the calm before our next active pattern kicks in….
SATELLITE
For today, its sunshine and a return to slightly above average temps. We’ll have highs in the mid 40’s and comfortable conditions overall.
We turn things up a notch tomorrow, with more sunshine and highs in the upper 40’s to low 50’s.
WEATHER RADAR
Unfortunately, our next system arrives for Saturday and our New Year’s Eve celebration. We’ll cloud up and have some light to moderate rain move in by early to mid afternoon. It’ll remain mild with temps in the low 50’s. On and off showers stick around till around midnight or just after, so bring an umbrella if you’re out there partying. Low’s will be a mild low 40’s.
Sunshine returns for New Year’s Day and it’ll be a beautiful one. Look for highs in the 50-55 range.
There won’t be much cool air behind this system as the next one os already gearing up to move through the Great Lakes region. That puts us in the “warm” sector of that system, and we will continue the mild temps through at least Wednesday. Expect highs in the 50-55 range Monday, then possibly more widespread mid 50’s Tuesday. If the rain can hold off on Wednesday, we could see 55-60 degree temps.
After that, we will be watching things very closely in terms of cold air heading in and moisture stalling out along the Gulf and/or Southeast. With these scenarios, sometimes the energy just scoots off the coast with no issues. Other times, our dome of high pressure is just far enough east where it’ll allow a wave of low pressure to ride up the coast.
My “2nd week of January” concerns were brought up prior to any model showing anything, so we will continue to not take any early models seriously. However, those models (at least for today), are showing that maybe there is something to my discussion several days ago. At minimum, it looks like we shake the mild air and return to more seasonable/near seasonable temps, while becoming more active system-wise.
Now let’s see if any of these systems coincide with the timing of that colder air.
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