NYC QUIET PERIOD ENDS TEMPORARILY LATE WEEK
Good morning everyone. We have a quiet and generally sunny week coming up here in the New York City area until late week, where we should see some decent rain. Meanwhile, the Christmas Day forecast from late November is holding very strong.
Cloud-free and cool is the name of the game today, with a light northerly breeze and highs in the upper 30’s to near 40. The same goes for tomorrow and Wednesday, upper 30’s to near 40 and sunny skies with that northerly wind keeping us very dry.
Some clouds begin to sneak in on Thursday ahead of some warmer air associated with our next system, but it’ll still be cool for 1 more day; highs in the upper 30’s to near 40. With clouds blanketing the area at night, don’t expect to drop much overnight Thursday; as we either stay steady or drop into the mid 30’s at worst.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
On Friday, clouds lower and thicken as a broad system approaches our area. Rain should hold off until Friday night, but then we should get into a period of steady rain that’ll be heavy at times. Timing of that steadier rain remains a question in terms of whether it’ll happen Friday night or Saturday, but clouds and rain will be with us regardless of Saturday. Expect a healthy dose of 1-2″ of rain for most of the area, with locally higher amounts.
Colder air will be slow to move in on Sunday behind the system, so expect a breezy, partly to mostly sunny one for Sunday and highs in the mid to upper 50’s. Cooler air begins to move in on Monday where we might see a sprinkle or flurry during that process.
During my Hail-Mary forecast in late November for Christmas Day, I said we could have a system swing by just before Christmas, giving us a cold and windy day for Christmas Day itself. As of now, it looks as if it’s holding strong although details on that pre-Christmas system remain unknown. That being said, it’s starting to enter the scope of the models in terms of actually showing up on a map and we’ll be watching.
We’ll be keeping a close eye on everything, including narrowing down the timing of the heaviest rain ending the week/starting the weekend.