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NYC RAIN DEPARTS MEANWHILE MORNING MODELS DIFFER
Good morning everyone. All of the schmutz we had overnight in the form of a wintry mix, has begun to depart as a cold, light rain. Speaking of overnight, models have changed in terms of what they show our weekend winter storm doing.
Light rain departs this morning, but clouds will linger until the next batch of energy arrives tonight. This represents the colder air moving back in and things are moving a little faster. Expect highs in the mid 40’s today, then only upper 30’s to low 40’s as highs tomorrow and windy.
In terms of the long range, this is why it’s important to wait for one system to depart, before getting excited about another. With colder air moving in faster, this could change the dynamic down the road. Sometimes even slight changes can have big ramifications in terms of what you get vs. what you want.
Thursday continues to look seasonal, dry, and windy, with highs in the mid to upper 30’s. Then for Friday, we remain dry, but a colder shot of air moves in. Highs Friday will be in the upper 20’s to low 30’s, which is below average for this time of year believe it or not.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
Over the weekend, clouds increase of Saturday, with cold air sticking around, but big questions remain beyond that; highs in the upper 20’s to low 30’s.
If you take a look at yesterday’s discussion about the prospects of our late-weekend winter storm, I laid out 4 scenarios regardless of what yesterday’s models were showing; you can click here to view if you’d like.
This morning, both the EURO and GFS are showing high pressure moving in from the north a little faster and deeper. While the EURO brings this system a little closer than the GFS, the GFS has everything suppressed well south. This is why continue to need to watch things.
Just like yesterday when I said, “it’s way too early” when things looked favorable, today is also way too early. It’s only Tuesday and we’re trying to look at Sunday. If morning run and after morning run continue to show a system pushed well south, yes, then it’s over for our area at least. If things keep varying back and forth, then we can’t write it off.
So stay tuned and we will continue to watch things.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
Please note that with regards to any tropical storms or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.