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NYC Showery Drizzly Chilly Day Plus Hurricane Elsa Discussion
Good yucky morning everyone. We have clouds, scattered showers, and drizzle developing over the area while a slow moving area of low pressure brings relatively chilly conditions for today. Things will slowly improve tomorrow, warm up Monday, then hot weather returns for Tuesday. We’re keeping an eye on Hurricane Elsa, and that may impact our weather late week, but not before Florida first.
SATELLITE
We are socked in with the clouds today, and so far things are progressing exactly as forecasted yesterday. Let’s hope it sticks to the program and everyone catches a late break. Showers and drizzle have developed directly over the NYC and western Nassau area, and that energy should start drifting east in the next 3-5hrs. That’ll help give the rest of the island some scattered showers and drizzle, and then I’m hoping it all fizzles out by late afternoon/early evening. Parts of Suffolk could see some stubborn drizzle, and regardless of what happens precip-wise, the clouds and chill still stick around. Expect highs in the mid 60’s at best and a chilly, light/steady NE wind.
WEATHER RADAR
The energy still sticks around for tomorrow and Monday, but it will be in such a weakened state at this point, the impact will be minimal. Look for clouds and sun tomorrow, the slight chance of a popcorn shower or storm, and highs in the mid to upper 70’s. We’ll build on that for Monday with similar conditions, but highs in the upper 70’s to low 80’s.
Tuesday and Wednesday we go hot. We’re looking at full sunshine and low to mid 90’s Tuesday, then humidity and clouds increase for Wednesday with low 90’s. We could see afternoon storms developing Wednesday as that moisture begins to increase from the south.
Late week we’ll be watching what the remnants of Elsa do as far as bringing tropical rains to the area. Read below for the current synapsis on Hurricane Else.
Elsa right now is a minimal hurricane south of the Dominican Republic, and racing off to the WNW towards Cuba. She is expected to make full interaction with the mountainous land of Cuba and weaken back to a tropical storm. All signs indicate she will make a turn north and impact Florida’s forecast by Monday in terms of rain. Because of her speed, any type of major restrengthening is unlikely and should make a second landfall as a tropical storm. The biggest impact threat will be the Florida Keys with copious rain, tropical storm force winds or gusts, and a minor to moderate storm surge.
For the rest of Florida, flash flooding will be the main threat due to big rainfall amounts. We do not expect a destructive system wind-wise for the Florida mainland.
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