NYC SNOW EVENT LOOMING
NYC SNOW EVENT LOOMING
NYC SNOW EVENT LOOMING – Good (almost) afternoon everyone and welcome to Angry Ben’s storm center. When things are looking interesting, we shift from long range discussions to immediate weather events. Winter weather advisories are now up for the NYC area for the expectation of some measurable snow and a brief period of freezing rain. Clouds will continue to increase today and temperatures will not get much past the mid 20’s. After midnight, a warm front arrives ahead of a low pressure system all the way back by Chicago, bringing steady light snow into the area between 12 a.m. and 2 a.m. Because the cold air is very stubborn and the low pressure is wound up pretty good, we could see a wave riding along the front, enhancing the precip in the immediate area. For this reason, I have deviated somewhat from the majority of the forecasts out there. Predicting warm front snows is one of the hardest things to do in the business because it’s hard to predict how fast they will move, especially with a wave along it. Also, waves can cause warm air to undercut the front ahead of the conversion zone, allowing any snow to change to ice or rain quicker than expected.
NYC SNOW EVENT LOOMING – Even though I deviate somewhat from the majority of forecasts, I am very confident with the snow accumulation map below. I feel that the period of snow will be shorter than expected, however, it will be heavier than expected. Because of the cold air in place, any snow that falls on the onset will stick to pretty much everything, allowing the bigger flakes of snow before any changeover to stick on top of the base layer, even when temps rise above freezing. My gut feeling tells me that the NYC area will see 2-4″ of snow before any changeover to sleet/ice then rain. The chance of 4″ of snow will be more likely away from the coast, whereas the immediate shore will likely be on the lower end of that 2-4″ range.
NYC SNOW EVENT LOOMING – Part of the reason for the winter weather advisories is due to the risk of freezing rain. I think that this will be more of a nuisance than anything else since the period will be short and early in the morning when there will be very little traffic yet. Also, temps will be rising very quickly as rain begins to fall, turning everything into mush before fully melting. Most people may not even witness the full accumulation of snow, especially if they are late sleepers on the weekend. Temps tomorrow afternoon will rise well into the 40’s, with some drizzle and fog after the main batch of precip comes to an end. On Sunday, we wait for the arrival of the trailing cold front, with temps in the mid to upper 50’s, another batch of rain, and maybe even a rumble of thunder.
NYC SNOW EVENT LOOMING – Tonight’s system begins to make it’s way across the Country and heading towards the Northeast corridor.
Radar is rather quiet aside from some snow showers in central PA and the WV, MD border.
Don’t be without Meteorologist Joe Cioffi’s weather app. It is really a meteorologist app because you get my forecasts and my analysis and not some automated computer generated forecast based on the GFS model. This is why your app forecast changes every 6 hours. It is model driven with no human input at all. It gives you an icon, a temperature and no insight whatsoever.
It is a complete weather app to suit your forecast needs. All the weather information you need is right on your phone. Android or I-phone, use it to keep track of all the latest weather information and forecasts. This weather app is also free of advertising so you don’t have to worry about security issues with your device. An accurate forecast and no worries that your device is being compromised.
Use it in conjunction with my website and my facebook and twitter and you have complete weather coverage of all the latest weather and the long range outlook. The website has been redone and upgraded. Its easy to use and everything is archived so you can see how well Joe does or doesn’t do when it comes to forecasts and outlooks.
Just click on the google play button or the apple store button on the sidebar for my app which is on My Weather Concierge. Download the app for free. Subscribe to my forecasts on an ad free environment for just 99 cents a month.
Get my forecasts in the palm of your hand for less than the cost of a cup of Joe!