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NYC Spring Weekend Forecast Holding But Fragile
Good morning. If you are up early today in the NYC area, you get to see some Florida-like tropical skies, with puffy clouds and a medium blue/sunny hue sunrise. That’ll pretty much be gone and cloudy skies will be back with the help of energy still leftover from our slowly departing system. Our weekend forecast is holding, but I’m approaching with caution as things hang by a thread. Plus, the long range is looking different from the last two weeks we’ve experienced here, and I’ll explain below.
EASTERN SATELLITE
Energy spinning about in upstate NY will help touch off showers today once the sun starts working the atmosphere. We won’t have rain all day, but expect the chance of some showers, especially in the afternoon. It’ll be a cool day, but not as bad as the last 2 days; highs in the low to mid 50’s.
As with a departing system during the wintertime when we get snow showers/squalls, those showers will begin to die out once the sun sets and they have nothing to feed off of. Skies will begin to clear as everything pulls away, and that’ll help pave the way for a fairly comfortable Wednesday.
Tomorrow, a northwesterly flow and sun-kissed sky dries things out. We’ll slowly start to climb back towards normal, but not quite get there tomorrow with slightly below average temps in the mid 60’s.
REGIONAL RADAR
A weak piece of energy will slip down from Great Lakes late tomorrow night and into Thursday morning, touching off a few light showers in the process. Unlike the last couple of weeks, this thing will be here and gone; getting out of the way for some peeks of sun by mid to late Thursday afternoon. Expect upper 60’s to maybe even some low 70’s as highs on Thursday.
On Friday, a piece of our next daisy-chained system slips to our north, draping down a short cold front through the area. We’ll have another chance of some showers, but again, everything keeps moving and we may see some peeks of morning sun and late afternoon/early evening sun. Highs in the upper 60’s again for Friday; but as with anything this time of year, a little bit of extra sun goes a long way and we could go a little higher if that happens.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
Friday’s system drops a cold front, then a warm front lurks somewhere behind it. It looks very weak, but we have to see the timing of it’s passage, but as of now, Saturday is looking cautiously and tentatively sunny and dry; highs 70-75.
Again, we have to see about this warm front and if the maritime air fights back at all, but Sunday has the potential to be even warmer, Some outlets are calling for full sun and I remain very cautious about that. For now, I’ll go with sun and clouds, highs possibly in the 75-80 realm if things work out.
By Monday, our next system might be knocking on our door. Clouds may keep the temps down a bit from Sunday’s highs if this is the case, but we’ll be more humid with highs in the mid to upper 70’s. Everything hangs on the timing of the system and we could see some late showers. If we stay drier and more sunny, then we can push the temps a little higher.
LOCAL RADAR PHILADELPHIA
In the long range, we remain looking active and complicated. However, unlike the last couple of weeks, the system paths are beginning to change to a more northerly route and also on the move instead of getting hung up for 5-7 days at a time.
I’m not saying it’s going to be a gorgeous finish down the stretch, but we are on the road to recovery; with a warmer, a little sunnier, and sometimes rainy scenario, compared to the cool, rainy, and gloomy scenario we’ve had. We’ll still have the pushback at times from the maritime airmass, which is the result of a relaxing but still existing block, but we are pivoting and turning the gears to late spring.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
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