NYC THANKSGIVING 2019 HAIL MARY FORECAST
Good morning everyone and welcome to a special edition of Angry Ben’s weather for NYC Weather Now, where I’ll look for a repeat Halloween and go end zone to end zone for Thanksgiving. Things are looking rather unsettled coming up, plus we have a rather significant push of relatively cold air heading our way.
For those who miss the sun, it’ll be back today in full force. Strong westerlies combined with that sun will help us get to the upper 50’s to low 60’s, but gusts in the 20+mph range will make it feel cool.
Things remain dry one more day for tomorrow and the sun sticks around for a low to mid 50 type day. However, a soaker is approaching, so clouds will increase, lower, and thicken Thursday night. Rain moves in by late morning to early afternoon on Friday, we we should see 3/4″ to about 1 1/4″ out of this one before sun and wind return on Saturday; highs a raw low 50’s Friday.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
For your weekend, Saturday will clear out rather fast and we should see upper 40’s to near 50; then much cooler air works in for Sunday. Expect that wind to dial up a little bit on Sunday as we dip into the low to mid 40’s as highs.
December-like temps won’t last long and we’ll modify into the near 50 range by Monday, but that’s the calm before the storm as we watch for a much more significant system for Tue/Wed up here. For now, the path and strength of our next system remains uncertain, but the possibility is there for a Nor’easter like storm or an inland-runner. Either way, this will help pull down cold air across the entire east when it departs; even all the way down into southern Florida. where we could see a day or two of 60’s as highs in areas that are usually in the mid 80’s.
November itself is not looking warm at all as depicted by some outlets. I think we continue this trend of reinforcing shots of cool air, followed by 1-2 days of front-related modification temp-wise. For this reason, I’m calling for a relatively cool/cold Thanksgiving depending on the timing of that parade of systems.
Looking at the timing and how we’re getting something every 3-4 days, followed by a reinforcing shot of cool air, I’d say we have an 80% shot of a sunny, cool/cold, and windy Thanksgiving.