NYC WHITE CHRISTMAS BUST
NYC WHITE CHRISTMAS BUST
NYC WHITE CHRISTMAS BUST – Good morning folks. Sad news for some today as we wake up to the most important model run, and it tells us the trend is not our friend this time around.
In the past several months, low pressure systems have found themselves trending more to the northwest as we got close to an event, and this will be no different. The problem being, it was already very close and we already had cold air issues. For those who messaged me privately, I discussed these issues as well, and said that this morning’s model run would be the most important.
So what does this mean for us? After our washout today and highs in the mid 50’s, we’ll have sun and clouds, upper 30’s tomorrow for Christmas Eve day. Clouds increase tomorrow later in the day as low pressure forms along the old front and heads our way.
Unless anything changes, low pressure gets too close, giving us rain, rain/snow mix, and maybe a quick period of snow before going back to rain. So we may still see some flakes in the air overnight tomorrow and into early Christmas Day morning, but unless there’s a last minute surprise, a White Christmas it will not be.
In the long range, cold air rushes in behind this system for the rest of the week. Look for mid 30’s Tuesday, then low 30’s Wednesday, then we may not break 30 late week next week. On top of this, we’ll be keeping an eye on another system for next Friday into the weekend, possibly much more powerful than anything we’re dealing with now.
With the way models are botching systems and how things have been trending last minute, I’m holding off on getting excited or calling for 30-40” of snow over a wide swath. We will be keeping a close eye on how it all unfolds and without any hype.
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