Sharp Cold Front Makes NYC Severe Weather Possible Tomorrow
Good morning everyone. I know that many are probably tired of hearing about severe weather possibilities for NYC, as we went though several rounds of thunderstorms this past week; but a sharp cold front moving through late tomorrow, could set off another round moving through the Northeast.
‘Tis the season and it’s why we have Severe Weather Awareness week in early May. This time of year is very similar to September for us, where there can be sharp differences in air masses, giving the atmosphere just enough juice to set things off.
SATELLITE
We start off this morning with some milky high clouds in the area. This is actually blowoff from a complex of storms moving off of the Mid-Atlantic coast. It’ll take a few hours to get them out of the way, but we should still see some sunshine today and warm temps. Expect upper 70’s to low 80’s in most spots, but we’ll also see some cooler temps along the immediate shore. If we can get some extra sunshine in the area, your notoriously warmer spots could see a few 85 degree hits.
Overnight, clouds return and we’ll see a slight chance of some showers and storms. Most of the action, if any at all, should be after midnight, then that possibility will stretch into tomorrow morning. The thought still remains that we have a window in between areas of precipitation for tomorrow and I do not think it’s a washout. It’ll be mild and humid and as usual, our temps hang on how much sun pokes out. For now, we’ll call for 75-80 degree temps and cooler at the immediate shore.
Any morning showers and storms will be gone between between 6-9am I thinking right now. Then we’ll have sun and clouds, and the chance of a brief heavy shower at any time during the day. The big action will come between late afternoon/evening, which is when our cold front begins to arrive. Unlike this past week where many of these waves had their own fuel, sunshine and wind profiles will be a factor as to if severe weather can hold together or not. We’ll be watching the radars closely, as well as looking to see how warm we go and how much sun we get tomorrow.
The biggest threat will once again be strong winds and hail, but we also cannot rule out the chance of an isolated tornado, especially to our west.
REGIONAL RADAR
The sharp difference in air masses that may give us severe storms tomorrow, will be apparent on Monday. Expect a dry, sunny, and breezy day, relatively cool, and highs in the upper 60’s to low 70’s. On Tuesday, we’ll dial back the wind a bit and modify the temps with low to mid 70’s.
For mid-week, average temps return on Wednesday with clouds and sun as our pattern begins to change again. I think we’re rain free for the most part on Wednesday, with upper 70’s to low 80’s. We’ll have the chance of showers and storms overnight Wednesday as our ridge sets back up in the Southeast, then possibly another round Thursday.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
Our medium to long range continues to look active and complicated, with sunny and dry days mixed in with seasonably cool days, gloomy days, and warm and humid days. We’ll have days that’ll be precipitation free, but as that ridge sets back in the Southeast, expect similar setups compared to last week; with showers and storms riding up and over that ridge and into the Northeast.
LOCAL RADAR PHILADELPHIA
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
Please note that with regards to any tropical storms or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.