SHORT RANGE MODELS GIVE NYC NOREASTER FOUR BOOST
SHORT RANGE MODELS GIVE NYC NOREASTER FOUR BOOST
SHORT RANGE MODELS GIVE NYC NOREASTER FOUR BOOST – Happy St. Patrick’s Day everyone! Is it January or is it mid-March? Cold and windy weather continues to remain locked over us while we keep an eye on another potential snowstorm for the Northeast corridor. Overnight, our GFS model shifted towards the Euro with a big nothing-burger, but our short-range NAM has come into focus and has other ideas.
Look for windy conditions and sunny skies to continue today, with highs in the low to mid 40’s. Low to mid 40’s continue tomorrow, but we relax the wind a bit. Monday remains unseasonably cool, with light winds and more low to mid 40’s.
Just when we thought we had a chance of getting rid of this potential Nor’Easter, our short-range NAM model began to come into focus for the mid-week. Overnight, the GFS began to depict a near miss or brush from a fast moving, double-barrel, system. The Euro continues to hold onto that idea which is two days old in their system. However, the short range NAM brings a single system closer to the shore, and far enough south to keep things all snow for the NYC area.
So now we wait and see if our NAM snaps into formation with the GFS and Euro, or do they slowly drift back into the NAM idea. We have a LONG way to go on this and I think we’re going to see several more flip flops before we get a clear picture on exactly what’s going to happen. So can we get snow here in late March? Yes. Can things slip to the south of us and we get nothing? Yes. Time will tell.
Stay tuned as we follow the changes.
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