SNOWY NOREASTER THREE WINTER STORM WATCHES POSTED

SNOWY NOREASTER THREE WINTER STORM WATCHES POSTED

 

SNOWY NOREASTER THREE WINTER STORM WATCHES POSTED

SNOWY NOREASTER THREE WINTER STORM WATCHES POSTED – Good late afternoon everyone. Winter storm watches have been posted for Nassau County on eastward for Long Island, while questions remain for New York City in regards to snow amounts and what our Nor’easter will do.

The latest NAM model, our most reliable (not perfect) short range model has placed a deepening low pressure system within or close to the benchmark distance (lat, long.) we normally look for during December through February. This benchmark normally represents how much cold air may be introduced into the area, as well as who will see the heaviest snows.

March is a different animal though and we still need to be cautious as far as who will see what, especially since our low pressure gets going a little bit further east before entering this “benchmark”. This may cause a sharp cutoff at or near the New York City area. This is why for at the moment, Winter Storm Watches have not been posted for the NYC area. However, things can change at the last minute either way as far as a slight jog west or a slight job east.

I’m being stubborn and snow maps remain the same

Because it’s March and taking melting into consideration, snow maps remain the same for now unless I’m really impressed tomorrow morning. The east end of Long Island remains in the bullseye, whereas Nassau County may see moderate amounts, and then we start getting into lighter accumulations as we go west, northwest, and southwest.

As stated previously, regardless of what we end up with snow-wise, you should take this system seriously in terms of its ability to down some more trees and cause some more blackouts. Also, it wouldn’t surprise me if blizzard warnings go up for at least eastern suffolk if the winds crank up strong enough. As of now, we’re walking a fine line on that matter.

With timing concerned, I still think we start out as a rain/mix Monday afternoon and/or evening before we start to crank this baby up to volume 10. For a short while, this may keep the accumulations down until snow is heavy enough to start sticking. We should turn to snow at or before midnight in most areas (except for maybe the east end of Long Island), then snow into late morning Tuesday to early afternoon before ending as a light windy mix. Eastern Long Island should make up the difference (and then some), especially if some heavy banding sets up before the storms departure.

Stay tuned for the next update.

 

storm free

 

 

storm free

 

 

storm free

 

storm free

 

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