SNOWY NYC MORNING STORM PROBABLE MONDAY NIGHT TUESDAY

SNOWY NYC MORNING STORM PROBABLE MONDAY NIGHT TUESDAY

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SNOWY NYC MORNING STORM PROBABLE MONDAY NIGHT TUESDAY

SNOWY NYC MORNING STORM PROBABLE MONDAY NIGHT TUESDAY – Good morning everyone! If you haven’t been aware of what’s be going on, you’re waking up to a surprise with a snowy morning. For those who have been tuning in, you knew about this several days ago.

Snow accumulation map

Here’s the snow map I created a couple of days ago and it seems to be holding up pretty well. Snow has spread across the NYC area, getting off to a late start as we had to wait a little long for that changeover. For this reason, we can push the 2-4″ area of snow approx. 10 miles to the north, not too bad when trying to predict an overrunning area of snow; so expect generally 2-4″ in the entire area aside from North and West of the NYC area and eastern Long Island, where they could see upwards of 3-6″ of snow with some locally higher amounts. Most of anything that falls will stick to mainly colder surfaces – trees, grass, cars, roofs; roads will generally be wet or slushy.

Things begin to taper off to flurries by noon to early afternoon, highs in the upper 30’s. Winds will pick up after everything passes and frigid air will begin to flood into the area. Tonight will be windy and clear, with lows in the mid teens. Any wet surface will surely freeze, so be careful of any black ice on the roads late tonight and early tomorrow morning if you’re driving or walking around. The next three days will be very simple – a very cold dome of air will be locked in, giving us sunny skies and highs in the upper 20’s Saturday and Sunday (teens at night), then increasing clouds Monday; highs in the low 30’s.

Monday Night and Tuesday storm probable

SNOWY NYC MORNING STORM PROBABLE MONDAY NIGHT TUESDAY – We’re at the point now in which we can start talking about this big system lurking, as well as what to expect. The biggest issue will be the final path, since we know now it’s a “when” not an “if” situation. Every model out there is essentially showing Sunday’s mid-Atlantic system departing, but leaving a piece of energy behind. As this happens, a vigorous area of energy will transit down from Canada, into the midwest, then across Kentucky/West Virginia. At some point, they will phase together, helped along by the cold area of high pressure to our north. Where this phasing happens, when it happens, and how far or close to the coast this happens, will be the final deciding factor on whether we see a very heavy snow to very heavy rain scenario, snow mixing with sleet and rain at times, or all snow. As far as amounts are concerned, it all comes down to the path, but this system has some big potential, even if we get snow changing to rain. Stay tuned over the next couple of days as we pinpoint the final path and what this means for the NYC area.

Satellite View

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Snow spreads across the area with a small wave of energy moving across NYC, PA, and NJ.

Northeast Radar

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A decent size swath of snow spreads itself across the area, giving us 2-4″ of snow locally, and possibly 3-6″ areas to our NW and Eastern Long Island.

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